[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Hazardous Weather : PHI@ 3/4/2013 11:29:21 AM

[svrwx at wx3i.net]

FLUS41 KPHI 041627
HWOPHI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1127 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-061-062-105-051630-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-UPPER BUCKS-
1127 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW 
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL 
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A STORM WHICH MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE
AREA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF WET SNOW WITH GUSTY
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL NO CERTAINTY OF PRECIPITATION
OCCURRING IN THIS AREA BUT THE CHANCES HAVE INCREASED.  THERE IS
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST DETAILS AT THIS TIME DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FOR UPDATES REGARDING THIS POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

PAZ060-101>103-051630-
BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
1127 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND 
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF WET SNOW WITH GUSTY WINDS TO 35
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH ELEVATIONS HAVING THE LARGEST ACCUMULATIONS.
THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST DETAILS AT THIS TIME
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH
MAY BE ISSUED IN OUR 330 PM FORECAST PRODUCTS FOR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY EVENING. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR
UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>027-PAZ070-071-104-106-
051630-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
LOWER BUCKS-
1127 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN 
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW 
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST 
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY AND THE RAIN WILL
PROBABLY CHANGE TO WET SNOW AT TIMES....POSSIBLY WITH BURST OF HEAVY
SNOW. A PERIOD OR TWO OF STRONG NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO POSSIBLY
60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY.
MODERATE TO POSSIBLY MAJOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST OF DELAWARE WITH AT LEAST MINOR...IF NOT MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST.  

A WINTER STORM WATCH...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND HIGH WIND WATCH "MAY"
BE ISSUED FOR THE APPROPRIATE PORTIONS OF OUR AREA IN OUR 330 PM
FORECASTS. WE STILL HAVEN'T EVALUATED ALL THE DAYTIME GUIDANCE TO
BE SURE ON OUR COURSE OF ACTION.

THE WINTER STORM WATCH WOULD BE FROM ROUGHLY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY
MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING FROM THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO FAR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND CECIL COUNTY OF 
NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND THEN POSSIBLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF
OF NEW JERSEY FOR WEDNESDAY MID AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SHOULD LESSEN
THE POTENTIAL AMOUNT OF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION.

THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR BOTH THE NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE ATLANTIC COASTS FOR THE MID WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND PREDAWN THURSDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THIS WATCH WILL
PROBABLY NOT INCLUDE ANY OF THE TIDAL DELAWARE. 

THE HIGH WIND WATCH IF WE ISSUE...WOULD PROBABLY BE FOR CAPE MAY
COUNTY...COASTAL MONMOUTH... COASTAL OCEAN AND COASTAL ATLANTIC
COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY THROUGH SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE WHERE THERE
IS GREATEST CONFIDENCE FOR A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS
EXCEEDING 40 MILES PER HOUR WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO NEAR 60. 

AGAIN THIS A POSSIBILITY FOR OUR 330 PM PRODUCTS AND THE ABOVE
OUTLINES OUR AREAS OF GREATEST CONCERN.

MINOR CHANGES IN LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILE AND TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW MAY RESULT IN LARGE CHANGES TO THE OUTCOME.

PLEASE MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY SUBSTANTIAL COASTAL STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-051630-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1127 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND 
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

NORTHEAST GALES WILL OCCUR. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR A PERIOD
OF 50 TO POSSIBLY 55 KNOT STORM FORCE GUSTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
COAST WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE
REGARDING THE WIND AND SEA STATE IMPACT OF THIS STORM ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST.

PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY SUBSTANTIAL COASTAL STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$


DRAG