[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Hazardous Weather : PHI@ 1/24/2011 3:57:41 PM

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Mon Jan 24 15:57:41 EST 2011


FLUS41 KPHI 242056
HWOPHI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
356 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

NJZ001-007>009-PAZ054-055-060>062-251200-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-
356 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW 
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND 
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT
NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A MAP OF ESTIMATED POSSIBLE SNOWFALL IS AVAILABLE ON OUR MOUNT
HOLLY WEB SITE. UPDATES OF THIS MAP ARE ANTICIPATED TOMORROW.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE ON TOTAL AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND OR SLEET IS
BELOW AVERAGE.

IT APPEARS THIS STORM WILL DELIVER MOSTLY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET AT
TIMES...FROM SOMETIME LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL ABOUT DAYBREAK
THURSDAY. THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE SHOULD BE
QUITE HAZARDOUS WITH RESIDUAL HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR
THE CLEANUP THURSDAY MORNING. SIGNIFICANT PLOWABLE AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE LIKELY... ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THERE ARE STILL A FEW OUTLIER SOLUTIONS THAT KEEP THE PRIMARY
STORM TO THE SOUTHEAST THE NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE.  

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ010-012-013-015>019-PAZ067>071-251200-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-
SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
356 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST 
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW 
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE
REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A MAP OF ESTIMATED POSSIBLE SNOWFALL IS AVAILABLE ON OUR MOUNT
HOLLY WEB SITE. UPDATES OF THIS MAP ARE ANTICIPATED TOMORROW.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE ON SNOW AND SLEET AMOUNTS IS LESS THAN
AVERAGE.

THIS INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR FROM NEAR NEW BRUNSWICK NEW JERSEY TO
PHILADELPHIA AND WILMINGTON APPEARS TO BE IN THE THERMALLY
UNCERTAIN ZONE WHERE SMALL CHANGES IN TEMPERATURE WILL MAKE A
CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCE IN PRECIPITATION ELEMENT OUTCOMES.

HOWEVER...A WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS COMING.

A MIX OF SNOW... SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE AREA BETWEEN 4 AM AND NOON WEDNESDAY AND PROBABLY CHANGE TO ALL 
SNOW DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING AS THE STORM PASSES
EAST OF NEW JERSEY AND WINDS SHIFT TO GUSTY NORTHERLY.

WHILE THE MORNING COMMUTE MAY BE HAZARDOUS FROM PHILADELPHIA 
SOUTHWARD...THE GREATER CONCERN IS FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
COMMUTE WHEN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS LIKELY. PLOWABLE AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE EVENING WHEN THE WORST OF THE
STORM MAY BE OCCURRING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ014-020>027-251200-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
356 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN 
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW 
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE
REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A MAP OF ESTIMATED POSSIBLE SNOWFALL IS AVAILABLE ON OUR MOUNT
HOLLY WEB SITE. UPDATES OF THIS MAP ARE ANTICIPATED TOMORROW.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE ON SNOW AND SLEET AMOUNTS IS LESS THAN
AVERAGE.

IT APPEARS THIS STORM WILL DELIVER MOSTLY RAIN TO THIS COASTAL PLAIN
REGION OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY...MAYBE WITH A BIT OF SNOW OR
FREEZING RAIN WHEN THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS BETWEEN 4 AM AND NOON
WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO AT LEAST 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE IN THE
DAY. THIS WILL PROMOTE THE POSSIBILITY TIDAL COASTAL FLOODING NEAR
THE TIME OF WEDNESDAYS NIGHT HIGH TIDE.

ADDITIONALLY...PRECIPITATION SHOULD END AS A PERIOD OF SNOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING TO FREEZING. THIS COULD RESULT IN
ADDITIONAL TRAVEL HAZARDS AFTER NIGHTFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-251200-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
356 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND 
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NORTHEAST GALES ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
POTENTIAL NORTHERLY GALES AT NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$









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