[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Hurricane Statement : PHI@ 8/27/2011 3:27:13 AM

[svrwx at wx3i.net]

WTUS81 KPHI 270726
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE WILL IMPACT THE REGION SIGNIFICANTLY
THROUGH SUNDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE 200 AM EDT POSITION OF HURRICANE IRENE.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN
MARYLAND...AS WELL AS ON THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE AND ON DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NEW
CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...TALBOT...
CAROLINE...MIDDLESEX...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...
SALEM...GLOUCESTER...CAMDEN...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...OCEAN...
CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...
COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...
DELAWARE AND PHILADELPHIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES...MORRIS...HUNTERDON...SOMERSET...
MERCER...CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW
JERSEY...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY
FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1N...LONGITUDE 76.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ...OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH OF DOVER
DE. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 100 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD ALONG
THE EAST COAST...WITH THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING VERY
CLOSE TO THE COASTS OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY FROM LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE STORM WILL BRING DAMAGING
WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH DANGEROUS FLOODING...AND COASTAL
FLOODING.

OVERALL...6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS RECEIVING OVER 12 INCHES. HEAVY AND POSSIBLY RECORD
SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY...EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND. SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. THE RARITAN
AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACT RATHER QUICKLY
AND ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. THE DELAWARE...SUSQUEHANNA
AND PASSAIC RIVERS REACT MORE SLOWLY. HOWEVER...THEY ALSO ARE
HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING FROM THIS RAINFALL EVENT.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK
OF THE HURRICANE...AS IRENE IS A LARGE STORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS
SITUATION. EVERYONE IS URGED TO COMPLETE THEIR STORM PREPARATIONS.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY...NEW
JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LONG BEACH ISLAND IN OCEAN
COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERKELEY TOWNSHIP IN
OCEAN COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

SOME MAJOR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS IN NEW JERSEY WILL BE HALTED AT
NOON TODAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. AT LEAST ONE BRIDGE WILL BE
CLOSED BEGINNING AT 600 PM TODAY. PLEASE MONITOR MEDIA BROADCASTS
REGARDING THE STATUS OF EVACUATIONS...TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS AND
SHELTERS.

IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT RESIDENTS AND VISITORS FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS WHEN EVACUATIONS ARE ORDERED.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF
LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
PREPARE FOR POWER OUTAGES THAT COULD LAST FOR A LONG PERIOD OF
TIME. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS A FULL TANK OF GAS.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS, DOCKS AND MARINAS, URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT, MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION, PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 630 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

MDZ008-012-015-NJZ008>010-015-PAZ067>069-280730-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
326 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 63 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
75 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL.
OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE. POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN POWER
OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.
MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS
POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION AND BE READY TO ACT IF
FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

$$

DEZ001>004-MDZ019-020-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-280730-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
326 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 65 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
85 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE
DESTROYED...ALONG WITH THOSE OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION. SOME
WELL ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WALLS AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. SOME
HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL SUSTAIN PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AND POSSIBLY BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL
BE BLOWN ABOUT...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH SOME DOWNED POWER
POLES. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP. SOME
TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS
IT APPROACHES DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6
FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE AND THE DELAWARE BAY
SHORE. A 1 TO 3 FOOT SURGE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MARYLAND EASTERN
SHORE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF
FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES...AROUND 20 FEET
HIGH...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTLINE
FROM LATE TODAY INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. DO NOT ENTER THE SURF.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-280730-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
326 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 86 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. THE SEAS WILL
QUICKLY BUILD AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVES...WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS REACHING AT LEAST 20 FEET ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS.
WAVES SHOULD BE 5 TO 10 FEET ON DELAWARE BAY...UP TO 15 FEET AT
THE ENTRANCE TO THE BAY.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS EARLY ON SUNDAY IN THE RAIN
BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. THE POTENTIAL WILL DEPEND
ULTIMATELY ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM CENTER.

$$

ANZ470-280730-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
326 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 8 TO 18
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 87 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEAS ON THE
ATLANTIC OUTER COASTAL WATERS MAY REACH OR EXCEED 25 FEET FOR A
TIME FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS EARLY ON SUNDAY IN THE RAIN
BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. THE POTENTIAL WILL DEPEND
ULTIMATELY ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM CENTER.

$$