[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Public Information Statement : PHI@ 9/9/2009 8:16:33 AM

[svrwx at wx3i.net]

NOUS41 KPHI 091211
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-091000-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
548 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

...PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...

...WATER TEMPERATURES WERE MORE THAN AGREEABLE...BUT NOT THE SURF 
THIS SUMMER...
 
THE SUMMER OF 2009 FOR BEACH LOVERS WILL BE REMEMBERED FOR IT/S 
UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER TEMPERATURES BUT ALSO FOR IT/S ROUGHER THAN 
NORMAL SURF.

FROM JUNE 1ST THROUGH AUGUST 1ST OF 2008...THE WATER TEMPERATURES 
WERE EXTREMELY COLD WITH SEVERAL LOCATIONS AVERAGING BELOW 60 
DEGREES AND ONE BELOW 55 DEGREES. A RAPID WARM-UP FOLLOWED FOR THE 
REMAINDER OF THE SUMMER WITH SEVERAL BEACHES AVERAGING ABOVE 75 
DEGREES.

THE SUMMER OF 2009 WAS WARM RIGHT FROM THE BEGINNING OF JUNE. 
AVERAGING ABOVE 60 DEGREES IN JUNE...TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO WARM 
AND ON SEVERAL DAYS IN AUGUST AVERAGED OVER 80 DEGREES. THE REASON 
FOR THE CONTINUED WARM WATERS WAS THE ABSENCE OF THE PERSISTENT AND 
"USUAL" SOUTHWEST WIND THAT CAUSES UPWELLING...THE PROCESS WHICH
BRINGS COLDER WATERS TO THE SURFACE WHILE PUSHING THE WARMER
WATERS FARTHER OFFSHORE. OCEAN CITY MARYLAND HAD A TWO DAY AVERAGE
OF 85.9 DEGREES!

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE AVERAGE WATER TEMPERATURES FROM JUNE 1ST 
THROUGH SEPTEMBER 7TH AND THE DATE OF THE HIGHEST.

LOCATION.................AVERAGE...........HIGHEST/DATE

OCEAN CITY MD............75.8..............85.9/AUGUST 26TH
CAPE MAY NJ..............74.4..............80.8/AUGUST 17TH
ATLANTIC CITY NJ(BAY)....72.4..............80.8/AUGUST 17TH
BARNEGAT INLET NJ........70.9..............78.2/AUGUST 17TH
ATLANTIC CITY NJ(OCEAN)..70.4..............80.4/AUGUST 17TH  

THE 70.4 DEGREE AVERAGE FOR ATLANTIC CITY SHOULD END UP IN THE TOP 
TEN WARMEST SINCE 1912 AND WE STILL HAVE MUCH OF SEPTEMBER TO GO.
ATLANTIC CITY HAS ONE OF THE LONGEST STANDING WATER TEMPERATURE
ARCHIVES. THE WARMEST YEAR WAS 71.7 IN 1952...1951 WAS SECOND WITH
71.4 AND THIRD WAS THE YEAR 1969 WITH 71.0 DEGREES.

.............

WHILE THE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WERE GENERALLY ABSENT THIS YEAR AND 
ALLOWED THE WARMER WATERS TO REMAIN NEARSHORE...THE EASTERLIES 
OCCURRED QUITE FREQUENTLY SINCE MEMORIAL DAY AND CONTRIBUTED TO
THE ROUGH SURF.

AS A RESULT...THE METEOROLOGICAL SET UP FOR THE SUMMER OF 2009 
PRODUCED MANY DAYS OF MODERATE RISKS FOR RIP CURRENTS AND THE TWO 
TROPICAL SYSTEMS THAT MOVED NORTH ALONG THE COAST...BILL AND DANNY 
BROUGHT DAYS OF HIGH RISKS. 

WE BEGAN ISSUING RIP CURRENT FORECAST DURING THE SUMMER OF 2003. 
BELOW IS THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF DAYS WITH HIGH...MODERATE AND LOW 
RISKS. OUR FORECAST BEGIN AROUND MEMORIAL DAY AND CONTINUE UNTIL THE 
END OF THE RECREATIONAL...OR BATHING SEASON...SEPTEMBER 30TH.


STATES/NORMAL..........HIGH...MODERATE...LOW
                
DELAWARE...............10.....27.........90
NEW JERSEY.............13.....29.........85 

THE SUMMER OF 2009 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 7TH...

DELAWARE...............5......41.........65
NEW JERSEY.............5......43.........63

THERE WERE CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF MODERATE RISKS FROM JULY 21ST THROUGH 
AUGUST 2ND IN NEW JERSEY. ONLY ONE DAY DURING THAT STRETCH WAS LOW 
IN DELAWARE.

NINETEEN OF THE LAST 20 DAYS HAVE BEEN MODERATE OR HIGH IN DELAWARE 
AND NEW JERSEY. THE DATES OF THE HIGH RISKS WERE AUGUST 21...22 AND 
23 IN BOTH STATES...AND 29TH OF AUGUST IN BOTH NEW JERSEY AND 
DELAWARE AND SEPTEMBER 6TH ALSO BOTH STATES. 

THE REASON FOR THE LOW NUMBER OF HIGH RISKS DAYS TO DATE IS THE
ABSENCE OF TROPICAL STORMS THIS YEAR. EVEN THROUGH THEY CAN BE
1,000 MILES OFFSHORE...THEY GENERATE LARGE POWERFUL LONG PERIOD
SWELLS THAT PROPAGATE TOWARD THE COAST. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...ONLY
BILL AND DANNY HAVE BEEN NEAR THE COAST.



$$

EBERWINE