[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Public Information Statement : PHI@ 10/1/2009 12:27:09 PM

[svrwx at wx3i.net]

NOUS41 KPHI 011626
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-020430-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1226 PM EDT THU OCT 1 2009

...PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...

...WATER TEMPERATURES WERE MORE THAN AGREEABLE...BUT NOT THE SURF 
THIS SUMMER...
 
THE SUMMER OF 2009 FOR BEACH LOVERS WILL BE REMEMBERED FOR IT/S 
UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER TEMPERATURES BUT ALSO FOR IT/S VERY ROUGH
SURF CONDITIONS.

FROM JUNE 1ST THROUGH AUGUST 1ST OF 2008...THE WATER TEMPERATURES 
WERE EXTREMELY COLD WITH SEVERAL LOCATIONS AVERAGING BELOW 60 
DEGREES AND ONE BELOW 55 DEGREES. A RAPID WARM-UP FOLLOWED FOR THE 
REMAINDER OF THE SUMMER WITH SEVERAL BEACHES AVERAGING ABOVE 75 
DEGREES.

THE SUMMER OF 2009 WAS WARM RIGHT FROM THE BEGINNING OF JUNE. 
AVERAGING ABOVE 60 DEGREES IN JUNE...TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO WARM 
AND ON SEVERAL DAYS IN AUGUST AVERAGED OVER 80 DEGREES. THE REASON 
FOR THE CONTINUED WARM WATERS WAS THE ABSENCE OF THE PERSISTENT AND 
"USUAL" SOUTHWEST WIND THAT CAUSES UPWELLING...THE PROCESS WHICH
BRINGS COLDER WATERS TO THE SURFACE WHILE PUSHING THE WARMER
WATERS FARTHER OFFSHORE. OCEAN CITY MARYLAND HAD A TWO DAY AVERAGE
OF 85.9 DEGREES!

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE AVERAGE WATER TEMPERATURES FROM JUNE 1ST 
THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30TH AND THE DATE OF THE HIGHEST.

LOCATION.................AVERAGE...........HIGHEST/DATE

OCEAN CITY MD............75.4..............85.9/AUGUST 26TH
CAPE MAY NJ..............74.0..............80.8/AUGUST 17TH
ATLANTIC CITY NJ(BAY)....71.9..............80.8/AUGUST 17TH
BARNEGAT INLET NJ........70.4..............78.2/AUGUST 17TH
ATLANTIC CITY NJ(OCEAN)..70.4..............80.4/AUGUST 17TH  

THE 70.4 DEGREE AVERAGE FOR ATLANTIC CITY IS THE EIGHT WARMEST
ON RECORD SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1912. ATLANTIC CITY HAS ONE OF
THE LONGEST STANDING WATER TEMPERATURE ARCHIVES. THE WARMEST YEAR
WAS 71.7 IN 1952...1951 WAS SECOND WITH 71.4 AND THIRD WAS THE 
YEAR 1969 WITH 71.0 DEGREES. THE COLDEST WAS 63.6 DEGREES IN 1988.

.............

WHILE THE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WERE GENERALLY ABSENT THIS YEAR AND 
ALLOWED THE WARMER WATERS TO REMAIN NEARSHORE...THE EASTERLIES 
OCCURRED QUITE FREQUENTLY SINCE MEMORIAL DAY AND CONTRIBUTED TO
THE ROUGH SURF.

AS A RESULT...THE METEOROLOGICAL SET UP FOR THE SUMMER OF 2009 
PRODUCED MANY DAYS OF MODERATE RISKS FOR RIP CURRENTS AND THE TWO 
TROPICAL SYSTEMS THAT MOVED NORTH ALONG THE COAST...BILL AND DANNY 
BROUGHT DAYS OF HIGH RISKS. 

WE BEGAN ISSUING RIP CURRENT FORECAST DURING THE SUMMER OF 2003. 
BELOW IS THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF DAYS WITH HIGH...MODERATE AND LOW 
RISKS. OUR FORECAST BEGIN AROUND MEMORIAL DAY AND CONTINUE UNTIL THE 
END OF THE RECREATIONAL...OR BATHING SEASON...SEPTEMBER 30TH.


STATES/NORMAL..........HIGH...MODERATE...LOW
                
DELAWARE...............10.....27.........90
NEW JERSEY.............13.....29.........85 

THE SUMMER OF 2009 MAY 23RD THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30TH...

DELAWARE...............9......52.........72
NEW JERSEY.............10.....55.........68

  
THERE WERE ONLY TWO TROPICAL SYSTEMS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THAT
RAISED THE RISK LEVELS TO MODERATE AND HIGH. EVEN THROUGH THEY CAN
BE 1,000 MILES OFFSHORE...TROPICAL SYSTEMS GENERATE POWERFUL LONG
PERIOD SWELLS THAT PROPAGATE TOWARD THE COAST. AS MENTIONED ABOVE
...ONLY BILL AND DANNY HAVE BEEN NEAR THE COAST.

$$

EBERWINE