[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Public Information Statement : PHI@ 12/1/2009 1:55:27 PM

[svrwx at wx3i.net]

NOUS41 KPHI 011855
PNSPHI
DEZ004-NJZ014-021-023>026-021100-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
155 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

...PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...

...STORM COULD AFFECT THE BARRIER ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...

THIS STATEMENT IS INTENDED TO INFORM RESIDENTS OF THE NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE COASTAL AREAS OF THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER STORM.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION TODAY WILL MOVE OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY
AS A STORM BEGINS TO GATHER STRENGTH ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTHEAST, REMAINING
WELL INLAND LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. IT'S IMPACT HOWEVER WILL
BE FELT ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND
INTO PARTS OF DELAWARE BAY.

STORMS OF SEPTEMBER 11TH, OCTOBER 18TH, AND THE VETERANS DAY STORM 
BROUGHT GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS, TIDAL FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH 
EROSION TO THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE BEACHES. THE UPCOMING STORM
IS NOT A NOR'EASTER AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FAST ENOUGH TO PREVENT
A LARGE BUILDUP OF WATER IN THE BACK BAYS.

ALTHOUGH TIDAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MORE THAN A MINOR
CONCERN, THERE WILL BE GALE FORCE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WHICH
WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST TO WEST THURSDAY AND NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE ONSHORE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE LIKELY TO IMPACT
SOME AREAS THAT HAVE EXPERIENCED SEVERE BEACH EROSION.

THE AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGHER WAVES 
WILL BE THE OCEAN FRONT OF SUSSEX COUNTY, DELAWARE, ON THE JERSEY
SIDE OF THE DELAWARE BAY IN CUMBERLAND AND CAPE MAY COUNTIES, AND
THE NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COAST BARRIER ISLANDS OF CAPE MAY, ATLANTIC,
OCEAN AND MONMOUTH COUNTIES.

THE FULL MOON WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL MEAN THAT THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN USUAL. HOWEVER, A PERIOD OF STRONG ONSHORE
WINDS WOULD CAUSE THE TIDE TO DEPART EVEN HIGHER AND RESULT IN SOME
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
THURSDAY MORNING. WAVES GENERATED BY GALE FORCE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS COULD RESULT IN WAVES BREAKING ON THE BEACH BETWEEN SIX AND
EIGHT FEET. THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE STORM WILL HAVE A MAJOR
IMPACT ON WHETHER OR NOT FLOODING WILL OCCUR. IF THE STORM MOVES
FAST, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST PRIOR TO THURSDAY MORNINGS
HIGH TIDE AND THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE MINIMIZED. IF THE STORM
MOVES SLOWER, WINDS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE WILL STILL BE
SOUTHERLY AND THE THREAT OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WILL BE INCREASED.
TIMING WILL BE A MAJOR FACTOR WITH THIS SYSTEM AND A MATTER OF HOURS
COULD MEAN THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AND, VIRTUALLY,
NO FLOODING AT ALL. WHATEVER HAPPENS, THERE WILL NOT BE THE MAJOR
DEVASTATION THAT OCCURRED WITH THE LAST STORM.

HEAVY RAINS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE
CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL FALL WEDNESDAY
NIGHT, PRIOR TO THE HIGH TIDE THURSDAY MORNING, WHICH OCCURS ON
THE OCEAN FRONT BETWEEN SEVEN AM AND EIGHT THIRTY AM. IF THE HEAVY
RAIN FALLS LATE AT NIGHT, CLOSE TO THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE, SOME
STREET FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THE INCOMING TIDE.

IN SHORT, PERSONS ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS MAY BE IN FOR A TWELVE TO
EIGHTEEN HOUR PERIOD OF STORMY WEATHER, SO PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE 
AS THE EVENT GETS CLOSER FOR ANY POSSIBLE ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS
BY CHECKING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE OR LISTENING TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS.

$$

EBERWINE/RPW