[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Marine Weather Statement : PHI@ 11/26/2007 9:30:44 PM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

Check at http://weather.gov/ for original products.


FZUS71 KPHI 270229
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

ANZ430-431-454-455-271030-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071127T0600Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
929 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE, MOVING NORTHEAST, WILL CROSS PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS
EVENING BEFORE MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE LOW HAVE INCREASED TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. THE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT WHICH COULD FURTHER ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS. ONCE THE FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN
GUSTY THROUGH TOMORROW.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW
AND THEN MORE LIKELY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE KEY
FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE, THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF
SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

ANZ450>453-271030-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.000000T0000Z-071127T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
929 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE, MOVING NORTHEAST, WILL CROSS PENNSYLVANIA THIS
EVENING BEFORE MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE LOW HAVE INCREASED TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. THE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT WHICH COULD FURTHER ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS. ONCE THE FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN
GUSTY THROUGH TOMORROW.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW AND
THEN MORE LIKELY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE KEY FOR
THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE, THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF
SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

KRUZDLO

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