[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Marine Weather Statement : PHI@ 11/26/2007 4:14:34 PM

n2qae at arrl.net n2qae at arrl.net
Mon Nov 26 16:14:36 EST 2007


Check at http://weather.gov/ for original products.


FZUS71 KPHI 262111
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
411 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

ANZ450>453-270600-
/X.EXT.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071126T2055Z-071127T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
411 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS EVENING...
...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WARM AND MOIST FLOW FROM THE SOUTH MOVING ACROSS THE COOLER
OCEAN WATERS HAS ALLOWED FOR FOG TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NEW JERSEY
COAST. AREAS OF FOG WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE EVENING, WITH SOME
AREAS HAVING VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. CONDITIONS SHOULD
IMPROVE OVERNIGHT AS WINDS INCREASE AHEAD A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TOWARD MORNING,
VISIBILITIES SHOULD RAPIDLY INCREASE AS WELL. THOSE WITH MARINE
INTERESTS SHOULD USE CAUTION TONIGHT WHEN TRAVELING ON THE WATERS.
UNTIL VISIBILITIES INCREASE, YOU SHOULD REDUCE YOUR SPEED AND KEEP
NAVIGATION LIGHTS ON. ALSO KEEP A LOOKOUT FOR OTHER VESSELS,
BUOYS, AND BREAKWATERS.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CROSS
PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS,,,ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THESE COULD ALSO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY
WINDS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA,,,WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY
AND THEN,,,MORE LIKELY,,,TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE
KEY FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE,,,THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT
OF SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

ANZ430-431-454-455-270600-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071127T0600Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
411 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE,,,MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY,,,WILL CROSS
PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS,,,ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THESE COULD ALSO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY
WINDS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA,,,WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY
AND THEN,,,MORE LIKELY,,,TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE
KEY FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE,,,THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT
OF SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$


ROBERTSON/AMC

WWWW



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