[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 11/16/2006 4:26:18 AM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 160925
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
425 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ014-016-020>027-162100-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...SANDY HOOK...PENNSVILLE...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST
425 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY... 

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY WILL LIFT THROUGH THE 
GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL 
PUSH A DYNAMIC COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT. IT WILL RESULT
IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS.

OVER SOUTHEASTERN AND FAR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...CENTRAL AND 
SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE MARYLAND EASTERN 
SHORE...WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCH RAINFALL IS FORECAST...AND UP TO 
THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WHERE ANY THUNDERSTORMS MIGHT 
DEVELOP. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON AND END
BY MIDNIGHT. GIVEN THE SATURATED STATE OF THE GROUND...THESE COULD
RESULT IN FLOODING OF FIELDS AND LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

WINDS WITH THE FRONT ARE FORECAST TO RANGE BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 40 MPH. HOWEVER...IF THUNDERSTORMS DO
DEVELOP AND CAUSE WINDS ALOFT TO MIX TO THE SURFACE...EVEN STRONGER
WIND GUSTS THAT COULD FELL TREES AND LEAD TO SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF DELAWARE AND EASTERN 
MARYLAND.

BECAUSE OF THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS TREES WILL COME DOWN EASIER TODAY 
THAN THEY NORMALLY WOULD. PEOPLE IN THE AREA SHOULD STAY ABREAST OF 
THE LATEST FORECASTS AND ANY SUBSEQUENT STATEMENTS...ADVISORIES...
WATCHES OR WARNINGS THAT MAY BE ISSUED. IF POSSIBLE TRY NOT TO
PARK VEHICLES UNDER TREES LATER TODAY.

$$



DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015-017>019-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-162100-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...
NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...
CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
425 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT
ESPECIALLY DURING THUNDERSTORMS...

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT WILL BE 
PRECEDED AND ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS.
 
THERE WILL BE VERY STRONG WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE AND SOME OF THESE 
WINDS MIGHT BE MIXED TO THE GROUND THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THERE 
IS UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW WELL THESE WINDS CAN BE MIXED TO THE 
SURFACE BUT THE THREAT WILL BE INCREASED IF THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR
IN YOUR AREA. EVEN WITHOUT THE STORMS, PEAK WIND GUSTS COULD REACH
40 MPH.

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES IS 
STILL EXPECTED JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA. PLEASE LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE 
CHANGES TO THIS SLIGHT RISK AREA DURING THE DAY.

ALL THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR SHALLOW ROOTED 
TREES TO BE PUSHED OVER BY THE WINDS, EVEN THOUGH MOST TREES HAVE 
ALREADY LOST THEIR LEAVES. LESSER WIND SPEEDS TODAY WILL CAUSE MORE 
TREE WIND DAMAGE THAN NORMALLY WOULD BE THE CASE BECAUSE OF THE 
SATURATED SOILS.

PLEASE USE THIS MORNING TO COMPLETE ANY NECESSARY PREPARATIONS FOR 
THE EXPECTED STRONGER WINDS. SECURE ANY LOOSE ITEMS AND ANY
THANKSGIVING OR FOOTBALL OUTDOOR DECORATIONS. IF PRACTICAL TRY NOT
TO PARK UNDER TREES LATER TODAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

TFG