[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 7/20/2006 3:52:04 PM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 201949
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
349 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-202200-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
349 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER SLOW MOVING
FRONT WHICH MAY ALSO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINS...

TROPICAL STORM BERYL HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE REGION, HOWEVER, THE 
HUMID AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND SET THE STAGE FOR MORE 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN BEGINNING FRIDAY. ON FRIDAY...A COLD 
FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION. AS IT NEARS IT SHOULD HELP 
TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WITH THE HUMID AIR MASS IN PLACE 
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN PARTICULARLY IN 
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY 
NIGHT. THE EMPHASIS FOR HEAVIER RAIN ON SATURDAY SHOULD THEN SWITCH 
TO NEW JERSEY...EASTERN MARYLAND AND DELAWARE AND THEN SHIFT FARTHER 
SOUTH FOR SUNDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ALSO PLACED THE ENTIRE REGION IN A 
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THIS COULD NOT BE COMING AT A
WORSE TIME SINCE THERE ARE STILL OVER 50,000 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER 
IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. 

BASINWIDE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SHOULD AVERAGE 
ONE TO TWO INCHES, BUT HIGHER AMOUNTS LOCALLY EXCEEDING FOUR INCHES 
ARE POSSIBLE.  

A STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL KEEP 
THE FRONT FROM MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. AS A RESULT, A SERIES OF 
LOW PRESSURES WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT, EACH BRINGING PERIODS OF 
HEAVY RAIN. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE RIGHT INTO LATE SUNDAY.

AT THIS TIME FLOODING IS MOST VULNERABLE ON SMALLER STREAMS AND 
CREEKS. THE MAIN STEM RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS.

ANYONE THAT LIVES IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA IS ADVISED TO LISTEN FOR 
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS IF THEY 
BECOME NECESSARY.



$$

ZEV/EBERWINE/GIGI