[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Winter Storm Warning : PHI@ 1/22/2006 4:14:35 AM

[f4trees-skywarn at yahoo.com]

WWUS41 KPHI 220913
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-222230-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0002.060123T0600Z-060123T2300Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR 
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN POCONOS AND FAR 
NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW PLUS SUBSEQUENT 
SIGNIFICANT ICING ARE POSSIBLE.

LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF STATES TODAY AND 
BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE APPALACHIANS. HIGH PRESSURE OVER 
OUR REGION TODAY WILL RECEDE GRUDGINGLY. THE COMPLEX LOW IS EXPECTED 
TO REDEVELOP AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA
BY DAYBREAK MONDAY WHILE THE HIGH ONLY SLOWLY WEAKENS.

THE MOST THREATENING SCENARIO IS THAT THE PRECIPITATION FROM THE 
ADVANCING LOW AND STUBBORN COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE WOULD COMBINE TO 
GENERATE A PERIOD OF SNOW FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. 
THIS IS ESPECIALLY POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW, SLEET, OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. PEOPLE
IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD STAY ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECAST, AS
WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES ULTIMATELY MAY BE NEEDED. PLEASE STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.

$$

THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR THE WINTER OF LATE 2005 THROUGH 
EARLY 2006.  THE PROBABILITIES GIVEN BELOW ARE BASED ON A 
COMBINATION OF STATISTICAL THEORY, OUR SNOWFALL FORECASTS OVER THE 
PAST SEVERAL WINTERS, AND THE MOST LIKELY SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS 
POTENTIAL STORM.  THE PERIOD OF EXPECTED SNOWFALL IS LATE SUNDAY 
NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

=====================================================================

           PROBABILITY (PERCENT) OF REACHING OR EXCEEDING
         THE FOLLOWING STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (INCHES)

=====================================================================
STATION      2IN    4IN    6IN    9IN   12IN   18IN   24IN
=====================================================================

MPO          75     55     30     10      5     <5     <5 
ABE          50     25     10     <5     <5     <5     <5 
PHL          <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
ACY          <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
GED          <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
=====================================================================
PROBABILITIES ARE ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 5 PERCENT.

STATION IDENTIFIERS:

MPO - MOUNT POCONO, PA (MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT)
ABE - ALLENTOWN, PA (LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
PHL - PHILADELPHIA, PA (PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
ACY - POMONA, NJ (ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT) 
GED - GEORGETOWN, DE (SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT)

THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI.

/DELISI