[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 1/13/2006 3:13:45 PM

[f4trees-skywarn at yahoo.com]

WWUS81 KPHI 132012
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
312 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2006

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-141100-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
312 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2006

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY ALONG WITH 
POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...

A STORM SYSTEM, MOVING EAST FROM THE MIDWEST, IS EXPECTED TO REACH 
THE OHIO VALLEY THIS EVENING AND THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL REGION
SATURDAY. IT WILL THEN HEAD NORTHEAST, REACHING THE CANADIAN 
MARITIMES SUNDAY. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO DRAW MOISTURE FROM BOTH 
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO OUR REGION... 
RESULTING IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

WITH MILD AIR IN PLACE, RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA 
TONIGHT. THE RAIN MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT INTO 
SATURDAY AND THERE MAY EVEN BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORM 
PREDICTION CENTER HAS EVEN PLACED SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, CENTRAL 
AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY, DELAWARE, AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND UNDER A 
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY 
MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD AVERAGE 3/4 TO 1 INCH WITH LOCALLY 
HIGHER AMOUNTS, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. 
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WITHIN 
BANK RISES ON MANY OF THE AREAS RIVERS, STREAMS, AND CREEKS... 
ESPECIALLY IN THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY WHERE SNOWMELT 
WILL ADD TO THE RUNOFF.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF 
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY, WHERE
ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH 2 TO 4 INCHES. JUST TO THE SOUTH, FROM
SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA EASTNORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL NEW JERSEY,
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. EVEN FARTHER SOUTH,
ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, DELAWARE, AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY,
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A DUSTING TO PERHAPS AN
INCH. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FREEZING IN MOST 
LOCATIONS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS DRAMATIC TEMPERATURE DROP, ALONG
WITH THE PREVIOUS WET ROADWAYS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ACCUMULATING 
SNOW, WILL CAUSE TRAVELING CONDITIONS TO RAPIDLY DETERIORATE ONCE
THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OCCURS. ADDITIONALLY, WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH 
AND THEN NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS SATURDAY NIGHT 
INTO SUNDAY. AS A RESULT WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE 
DIGITS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY,
AND IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S ELSEWHERE.

ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEANFRONTS, TIDAL DEPARTURES
WILL BE INCREASING ONCE THE STORM MOVES OFF THE COAST AND WINDS
SWING AROUND TO THE NORTH. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY MORNING.
HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AND 930 AM.
WATER LEVELS WILL ALSO BE QUITE HIGH ON THE BACK BAYS, WHERE
HIGH TIDE SUNDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR UP TO 2 HOURS LATER THAN ON
THE OCEAN FRONT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST UPDATES ON THIS COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM. YOU CAN ALSO ACCESS THE 
MT. HOLLY, NJ NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/PHI.

$$

RPW//JJM/MD/LR


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