[MTHOLLYSVRWX] WSWPHI

[f4trees-skywarn at yahoo.com]

WWUS41 KPHI 282009
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
309 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2006


NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-011030-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0004.060302T0500Z-060302T1700Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
309 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

ONE-QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCRUAL IS POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
INTO THURSDAY OVER THE WATCH AREA, WHICH COVERS THE SOUTHERN 
POCONOS, THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND BERKS COUNTY IN PENNSYLVANIA AND 
NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVELING 
DANGEROUS, AND COULD ALSO LEAD TO SOME DAMAGE TO POWER LINES AND 
TREES. 

LOW PRESSURE DROPPING INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT PLAINS BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY, THEN INTO THE 
OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL ADVANCE TO THE NORTHERN 
MID ATLANTIC REGION ON THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A PERIOD OF SNOW AND THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN 
AND SLEET DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. 

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD KEEP AWARE OF THE LATEST FORECASTS. 
TUNE TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS, THE VOICE OF THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE, OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATES. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR THE WINTER OF LATE 2005 THROUGH 
EARLY 2006.  THE PROBABILITIES GIVEN BELOW ARE BASED ON A 
COMBINATION OF STATISTICAL THEORY, OUR SNOWFALL FORECASTS OVER THE 
PAST SEVERAL WINTERS, AND THE MOST LIKELY SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS 
POTENTIAL STORM.  THE PERIOD OF EXPECTED SNOWFALL IS WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT. 

=====================================================================

           PROBABILITY (PERCENT) OF REACHING OR EXCEEDING
         THE FOLLOWING STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (INCHES)

=====================================================================
STATION      2IN    4IN    6IN    9IN   12IN   18IN   24IN
=====================================================================

MPO          50     20      5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
ABE          25     10     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
PHL          <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
ACY          <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
GED          <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5     <5 
=====================================================================
PROBABILITIES ARE ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 5 PERCENT.

STATION IDENTIFIERS:

MPO - MOUNT POCONO, PA (MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT)
ABE - ALLENTOWN, PA (LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
PHL - PHILADELPHIA, PA (PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
ACY - POMONA, NJ (ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT) 
GED - GEORGETOWN, DE (SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT)

DELISI/STAUBER



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