[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 2/9/2006 3:51:38 AM

[f4trees-skywarn at yahoo.com]

WWUS81 KPHI 090851
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
351 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-092200-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
351 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006

...A WINTER STORM MAY AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...

WINTER IS NOT OVER YET. AND BY THE TIME THIS WEEKEND IS OVER, WE MAY 
REALIZE THAT IN A BIG WAY. OUR COMPUTER MODELS, DO NOT YET AGREE 
ON A SOLUTION FOR OUR UPCOMING WEATHER SITUATION. WHAT WE DO KNOW IS 
THAT A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE DROPPING DOWN ACROSS 
THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY. THE ENERGY FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL TRANSFER TO 
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO THE MID 
ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY AND THEN TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST SUNDAY.
PLENTY OF GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE DRAWN INTO
THIS SYSTEM. THERE LIES OUR POTENTIAL PROBLEM. DEPENDING ON THE
TRACK OF THE STORM, THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR A SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE, THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS
SNOW SATURDAY. IF THE STORM TRACKS FAR ENOUGH TO THE EAST, THE BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL BE ALONG THE COAST OR JUST OFFSHORE. IF IT TRACKS
FARTHER WEST, THE HEAVY SNOW WILL FALL OVER MUCH OF OUR FORECAST
AREA. AND IF IT TRACKS EVEN FARTHER WEST, CLOSER TO THE COAST,
MILD AIR WILL BE DRAWN INTO THE SYSTEM BRINGING A CHANGEOVER TO
RAIN TO SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH HEAVY SNOW FALLING 
FARTHER INLAND. IT APPEARS THAT THE CRITICAL TIME PERIOD WILL BE 
LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. 

AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER, WE WILL GET A MUCH BETTER IDEA OF HOW
THE UPCOMING EVENTS WILL PLAY OUT. UNTIL THAT TIME, IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING THIS WEEKEND...PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
STATEMENTS AND FORECAST UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.

$$

TFG/RPW

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