[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 10/25/2005 12:49:40 AM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 250449
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1249 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-251100-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1249 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

...FIRST SNOWFLAKES FROM THE STORM FALLING IN THE POCONOS...

PRECIPITATION IS WIDESPREAD ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NEW JERSEY
AND SCATTERED ACROSS EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, MARYLAND AND DELAWARE.
THE PRECIPITATION IN MONROE COUNTY HAS CHANGED OVER TO WET SNOW
FLAKES AT AN ELEVATION AROUND 2000 FEET WITH A TEMPERATURE IN THE 
MID 30S. 

THE STORM BRINING THE PRECIPITATION IS A COMBINATION OF MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTH ALONG THE COAST FROM HURRICANE WILMA AND AN UPPER
LOW OVER WEST VIRGINIA. THERE IS ALSO A HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH
WHICH IS HELPING TO TIGHTEN THE WIND GRADIENT OVER THE REGION.

MOST PRECIPITATION FROM THESE SYSTEMS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF
RAIN. HOWEVER, NORTH WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM WAS PULLING
DOWN COOLER AIR IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND IS CHANGING TO RAIN OVER
TO SNOW. AS THE STORM DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT MORE
COLD AIR WILL BE PULLED IN FROM THE NORTH... WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF ADDITIONAL SNOW OVER THE POCONOS AND SNOW OVER FAR NORTHWEST
NEW JERSEY AS WELL.

THE EXTENT OF THE COLDER AIR IS UNCERTAIN...BUT IF THE TEMPERATURES
REMAIN AS THEY ARE OR DROP TO AROUND FREEZING, SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE
ABOUT 1 TO 2 INCHES AT THE HIGHER LOCATIONS IN CARBON AND MONROE
COUNTIES. LOWER ELEVATIONS...BELOW 1OOO FT...WILL LIKELY SEE JUST
RAIN. FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY...AND AN ADDITIONAL
2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE HIGHER POCONOS.

ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL BE VERY WET AND HEAVY AND...ALONG WITH
GUSTY NORTH WINDS...COULD EASILY BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS THAT ARE
STILL COVERED WITH FOLIAGE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
AND POSSIBLE ADVISORIES FOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.







$$

EBERWINE


WWWW