[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Hazardous Weather : OKX@ 01/03/2005 05:46:16

n2qae at arrl.net n2qae at arrl.net
Mon Jan 3 05:46:18 EST 2005


FLUS41 KOKX 031019
HWOOKX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
508 AM EST MON JAN 3 2005

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-041030-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON CT-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-ORANGE NY-PUTNAM NY-
ROCKLAND NY-WESTERN PASSAIC NJ-
508 AM EST MON JAN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
AS A WEAK COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE REGION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG IT AND SPREAD 1/2
TO 1 INCH OF RAIN MAINLY BETWEEN 6 PM AND 2 AM...OTHERWISE 
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AS THIS LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND TUESDAY MORNING...A COLD 
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE 
REGION.

THE LATEST FORECAST MODELS SHOW THIS COLD HIGH ARRIVING JUST IN TIME 
FOR THE NEXT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTH 
CENTRAL U.S. AND MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY DURING 
WEDNESDAY. AS ALWAYS...THE POSITION AND INTENSITY OF BOTH THE 
CANADIAN HIGH AND THE OHIO VALLEY LOW WILL BE CRITICAL IN 
DETERMINING PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS ACROSS THE REGION. AT 
THIS TIME...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A PROLONGED WINTER WEATHER 
EVENT...WHICH COULD BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

CTZ009>012-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>081-041030-
BERGEN NJ-BRONX NY-EASTERN PASSAIC NJ-ESSEX NJ-HUDSON NJ-
KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY-NASSAU NY-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) NY-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-QUEENS NY-
RICHMOND (STATEN IS.) NY-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON CT-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-UNION NJ-
508 AM EST MON JAN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS A WEAK COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE REGION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG IT AND SPREAD 1/2
TO 1 INCH OF RAIN MAINLY BETWEEN 6 PM AND 2 AM. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT...OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AS THIS LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND TUESDAY MORNING...A COLD 
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE 
REGION. 

THE LATEST FORECAST MODELS SHOW THIS COLD HIGH ARRIVING JUST IN TIME 
FOR THE NEXT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTH 
CENTRAL U.S. AND MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY DURING 
WEDNESDAY. AS ALWAYS...THE POSITION AND INTENSITY OF BOTH THE 
CANADIAN HIGH AND THE OHIO VALLEY LOW WILL BE CRITICAL IN 
DETERMINING PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS ACROSS THE REGION. AT 
THIS TIME...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A PROLONGED WINTER WEATHER 
EVENT...WHICH COULD BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR ALL COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$
GC







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