[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 2/28/2005 6:00:06 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 281036
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
535 AM EST MON FEB 28 2005

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016-020>027-282200-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-
MIDDLESEX NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-OCEAN NJ-SALEM NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC CITY...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...
NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
535 AM EST MON FEB 28 2005

...WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED TONIGHT...

AN INTENSE BUT QUICK MOVING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PASS ALONG 
THE NEW JERSEY COAST TONIGHT. THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF A STRONG 
EASTERLY WIND AHEAD OF THE STORM IS LIKELY TO BRING WIDESPREAD MINOR 
TIDAL FLOODING TO THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS, AS WELL AS THE 
DELAWARE BAY TONIGHT AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. SPOTTY MODERATE FLOODING 
IS POSSIBLE.

THE LATEST FORECASTS SHOW THAT THE PERIOD OF HIGHEST TIDAL 
DEPARTURES WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 7 PM TONIGHT AND PERSIST BEYOND 
THE 11 PM HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. THE TOTAL DEPARTURES ARE NOT AS GREAT 
AS PREVIOUS FORECASTS, BUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONGER SYSTEM 
MEANS THAT HIGHER THAT EXPECTED DEPARTURES COULD OCCUR. THE MOST 
RECENT FORECAST SHOWS WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 6.0 AND 6.3 FT ABOVE MLLW 
AT CAPE MAY AND ATLANTIC CITY NJ, AROUND 7.0 FT ABOVE MLLW AT 
SANDY HOOK, NJ AND UP TO 7.4 FT ABOVE MLLW AT SOUTH AMBROSE, NJ. 
SIGNIFICANT WAVES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE THE SITUATION. 
THE HIGHEST TIDES TEND TO OCCUR A COUPLE HOURS LATER IN THE BACK 
BAYS. 

IF YOU LIVE ALONG THE COAST, YOU ARE URGED TO PAY ATTENTION TO 
FUTURE STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS SITUATION. ANY CHANGES IN THE 
INTENSITY OR TRACK OF THE STORM MAY CREATE CONDITIONS IN THE 
MODERATE FLOODING CATEGORY, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE LITTLE EGG INLET.

IF THIS HAPPENS, YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL ISSUE A COASTAL 
FLOOD WARNING. LOCATIONS THAT TYPICALLY SEE THE WORST EFFECTS FROM 
COASTAL FLOODING INCLUDE SEA BRIGHT IN MONMOUTH COUNTY AND IN CAPE 
MAY, NEW JERSEY. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS ALSO ANTICIPATED WITH 
THIS NOREASTER DUE TO INCREASED WAVE ACTION.

$$

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