[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 2/18/2005 3:43:14 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 182018
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
313 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2005

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-191100-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...ATLANTIC CITY...BETHLEHEM...
CAMDEN...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...TRENTON...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
313 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2005

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING
SUNDAY, TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES MONDAY MORNING. A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THIS LOW WILL BRING PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE REGION STARTING LATE SUNDAY. MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH WILL INITIALLY KEEP THE COLD AIR IN PLACE. AS A RESULT, 
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE SUNDAY IN 
THE FORM OF SNOW. AS MILDER AIR GRADUALLY ARRIVES ALOFT FROM THE
SOUTH, A GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO MIXED PRECIPITATION AND THEN SOME RAIN
SHOULD OCCUR BY MIDDAY MONDAY FOR MOST LOCATIONS. THE CHANGEOVER WILL
GRADUALLY OCCUR FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, WITH
AREAS FARTHER TO THE NORTH TAKING LONGER.

GIVEN THE LATEST INFORMATION, A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE 
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO A PORTION OF MONDAY. 
THERE STILL REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE EXACT ARRIVAL TIME OF 
THE SNOW ON SUNDAY, AS WELL AS HOW LONG THE COLD AIR REMAINS IN
PLACE. THESE UNCERTAINTIES WILL IMPACT THE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. 
HOWEVER, IT DOES APPEAR SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE 
ENTIRE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. 

IF THE COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE LONG ENOUGH, THERE COULD BE A 
PERIOD OF MIXED PRECIPITATION AS THE SNOW TRANSITIONS TO RAIN ON 
MONDAY. IF THIS OCCURS, SOME ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE 
ESPECIALLY WEST AND NORTHWEST OF PHILADELPHIA.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
STORM SYSTEM, AND ISSUE UPDATES AS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES 
AVAILABLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO, THE OFFICIAL VOICE OF THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE, OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND 
STATEMENTS REGARDING THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM POTENTIAL.

$$

GORSE
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