[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 9/18/2004 12:00:46 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 181606
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1203 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004

DEZ001-NJZ001-007-009-015>019-PAZ055-062-069>071-182202-
BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-MERCER NJ-
MONROE PA-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-
1203 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004

...MAJOR FLOODING EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER PORTIONS OF THE DELAWARE 
RIVER...

   FIVE TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 
PORTIONS OF THE DELAWARE RIVER BASIN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. GIVEN 
THE VERY MOIST CONDITIONS IN PARTS OF THE DELAWARE WATERSHED EVEN 
BEFORE THIS CURRENT EVENT...THE RAINFALL-RUNOFF PROCESS HAS BEEN 
VERY EFFICIENT. AS A RESULT...RAPID RISES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ON 
SMALLER STREAMS AND RIVERS IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW 
JERSEY SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE 
MAIN STEM OF THE DELAWARE RIVER THIS WEEKEND.

   A CREST OF NEAR 26 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR TOCKS ISLAND SUNDAY 
AFTERNOON. FLOOD STAGE AT TOCKS ISLAND IS 21.0 FEET. 

   A CREST OF NEAR 32.5 FEET IS EXPECTED AT EASTON SUNDAY EVENING. 
FLOOD STAGE AT EASTON IS 22.0 FEET.

   A CREST OF NEAR 30.0 FEET IS EXPECTED AT RIEGELSVILLE SUNDAY 
EVENING. FLOOD STAGE AT RIEGELSVILLE IS 22.0 FEET.

   A CREST OF BETWEEN 24 AND 25 FEET IS EXPECTED AT TRENTON SUNDAY 
NIGHT. FLOOD STAGE AT TRENTON IS 20.0 FEET. 


   THESE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED RAIN THROUGH 7AM SATURDAY, 
PLUS AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH 1PM SATURDAY.
THIS IS A SERIOUS FLOOD SITUATION. THESE CREST FORECASTS REPRESENT
RIVER LEVELS NOT SEEN FOR QUITE SOME TIME...AND EXCEED LEVELS
EXPERIENCED DURING THE JANUARY 1996 FLOODS.IF YOU LIVE ALONG THE
DELAWARE RIVER, NOW IS THE TIME TO MOVE BELONGINGS OUT OF THE WAY OF
FLOOD WATERS. 

$$

JJM



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