[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 5/18/2004 4:56:20 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 180832
SPSPHI


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
429 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2004


DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-181600-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
429 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2004

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING...


THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF THE REGION IN A 
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA ARE 
EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST AND EXPAND IN COVERAGE LATER THIS MORNING AND 
AFTERNOON. THE AIR MASS IN PLACE IS ALREADY QUITE UNSTABLE AND LIKE 
YESTERDAY SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH DAMAGING 
WINDS AND HAIL. THIS UNFORTUNATELY CAN OCCUR ANYWHERE IN THE REGION. 

A COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE AREA THIS EVENING 
AND OVERNIGHT. AN ORGANIZED LINE OF SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD FORM PRECEDING THIS FRONT NORTH AND WEST OF THE 
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE INTO OUR AREA THIS 
EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER FROM THIS LINE WILL 
BE IN NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. DEPENDING
UPON HOW ORGANIZED THIS LINE BECOMES AND HOW EARLY IN THE EVENING IT 
ARRIVES...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER FROM IT MIGHT EXTEND FARTHER 
TO THE SOUTH.

SEVERE OR NOT...THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO CONTAIN FREQUENT 
LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WHICH WILL CAUSE POOR DRAINAGE 
FLOODING. IF A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES YOUR LOCATION...SEEK SHELTER 
IMMEDIATELY INDOORS. REMEMBER IF YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO A STORM TO 
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO IT TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR 
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.


$$

GIGI