[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 1/25/2004 5:37:51 AM

PHI Skywarn [email protected]
Sun, 25 Jan 2004 05:37:54 -0500


WWUS81 KPHI 251038
SPSPHI
WINTER STORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
537 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2004



NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-062-252300-
CARBON PA-MONROE PA-MORRIS NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-
537 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2004


...LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HEAVIER SNOW TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
EVENING...
 
THE REGION WILL BE GETTING A ONE TWO PUNCH FROM TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS 
THIS WEEK. THE AREA WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE 
PRECIPITATION SHIELD FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH A 
SURGE OF GULF COAST MOISTURE. LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET SHOULD ACCUMULATE 
AROUND TWO INCHES THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY WITH FURTHER LIGHT 
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. IF ENOUGH WARMER AIR MIXES IN 
ALOFT...FREEZING RAIN CAN NOT BE RULED OUT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY 
MORNING.

ON MONDAY NIGHT...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG 
THE CAROLINA COAST. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM STEERING IT IS EXPECTED 
TO DRAG IT NORTH ALONG THE COAST BEFORE IT HEADS OFFSHORE TUESDAY 
NIGHT.

DEPENDING UPON HOW QUICKLY THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS...MOVES 
AND CAN EFFICIENTLY INGEST ATLANTIC MOISTURE WILL TELL THE STORY ON 
HOW MUCH HEAVIER SNOW CAN DEVELOP IN THE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY 
NIGHT. SINCE THIS LOW DOES NOT EVEN EXIST YET...THERE IS MUCH 
UNCERTAINTY TO THE TIMING OF THIS EVENT AND HOW MUCH MOISTURE IT 
WILL HAVE. BUT...IT IS NOT OUT OF THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY FOR 
HEAVY SNOW TO FALL FROM THIS SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC 
STATES AND NEW ENGLAND. 
 
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL WATCHES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI (IN LOWER CASE).

$$

GIGI

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