[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 2/5/2004 10:28:10 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 051531
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1033 AM EST THU FEB 5 2004


DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ067>071-
052300-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-DELAWARE BEACHES DE-
EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-INLAND SUSSEX DE-
KENT MD-KENT DE-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-NEW CASTLE DE-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-TALBOT MD-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1033 AM EST THU FEB 5 2004


...A WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

LOW PRESSURE IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY WILL MOVE THROUGH 
THE TENNESSEE AND EASTERN OHIO VALLEYS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. AS ENERGY 
TRANSFERS ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS, SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM 
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION LATE FRIDAY AND MOVE NORTHEAST SATURDAY.

A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS 
COMPLEX STORM AS IT DRAWS MOISTURE FROM BOTH THE GULF OF MEXICO AND 
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ACROSS 
THE REGION LATER TONIGHT, AROUND OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
TEMPERATURES THEN WILL BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING, SO SNOW AND SLEET 
CAN BE EXPECTED. SNOW AND SLEET SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED ACROSS THE 
PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN REGION AND AREAS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AS 
PERSISTENT EAST OR SOUTHEAST WINDS OFF THE RELATIVELY WARMER 
ATLANTIC OCEAN WARM THE LOWER LEVEL OF THE ATMOSPHERE. 

IMMEDIATELY NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA, A WINTRY MIX CONSISTING
OF SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE
MORNING OR MIDDAY FRIDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA
COULD BE AN INCH OR TWO. AROUND THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA, 
A PERIOD OF SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN. LESS THAN AN INCH OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THE MORNING COMMUTE FRIDAY IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW AND SLIPPERY AND 
COULD BE TREACHEROUS FROM PHILADELPHIA AND ITS METROPOLITAN AREA
NORTHWEST. 

OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY, SOUTHERN DELAWARE, AND SOUTHERN 
SECTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, MOSTLY RAIN CAN BE 
EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER, THE RAIN MAY BEGIN 
AS A FAIRLY BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AND/OR SLEET.

AFTER CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN, THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO 
FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT. FINAL 
RAIN TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT COULD BE AROUND OR A BIT OVER TWO INCHES 
IN SPOTS. THIS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF STREAMS AND CREEKS AND 
ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WHICH REMAIN SNOW OR ICE COVERED. 
MANY STREAMS HAVE ICE JAMS WHICH COULD FURTHER WORSEN ANY FLOODING.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THEREFORE MAINTAINS A FLOOD WATCH OVER
NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, NORTHERN DELAWARE, EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
MUCH OF NORTHERN, CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR 
FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATES REGARDING THIS STORM. NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CAN ALSO BE OBTAINED FROM 
OUR WEB SITE, WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI.

$$
MPD 

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