[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 2/5/2004 4:37:44 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 050940
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
440 AM EST THU FEB 5 2004


DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ067>071-
051700-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-DELAWARE BEACHES DE-
EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-INLAND SUSSEX DE-
KENT MD-KENT DE-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-NEW CASTLE DE-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-TALBOT MD-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
440 AM EST THU FEB 5 2004



...A WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

LOW PRESSURE IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY WILL MOVE THROUGH 
THE TENNESSEE AND EASTERN OHIO VALLEYS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. AS ENERGY 
TRANSFERS ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS, SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM 
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION LATE FRIDAY AND MOVE NORTHEAST SATURDAY.

A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS 
COMPLEX STORM AS IT DRAWS MOISTURE FROM BOTH THE GULF OF MEXICO AND 
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ACROSS 
THE REGION LATER TONIGHT, AROUND OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
TEMPERATURES THEN WILL BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING, SO SNOW AND SLEET 
CAN BE EXPECTED. SNOW AND SLEET SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED ACROSS THE 
PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN REGION AND AREAS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AS 
PERSISTENT EAST OR SOUTHEAST WINDS OFF THE RELATIVELY WARMER 
ATLANTIC OCEAN WARM THE LOWER LEVEL OF THE ATMOSPHERE. AROUND THE 
PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA, A PERIOD OF SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE 
AROUND DAYBREAK BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN. LESS 
THAN AN INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA, A WINTRY MIX CONSISTING OF SNOW, 
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE MORNING OR 
MIDDAY FRIDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN 
THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA COULD BE AN INCH OR 
TWO.

OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY, SOUTHERN DELAWARE, AND SOUTHERN 
SECTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, MOSTLY RAIN CAN BE 
EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER, THE RAIN MAY BEGIN 
AS SNOW AND/OR SLEET BUT CHANGE OVER FAIRLY RAPIDLY TO RAIN LATER
TONIGHT.

THE MORNING COMMUTE FRIDAY IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW AND SLIPPERY AND 
COULD BE TREACHEROUS. FURTHER TO THE NORTH, NORTH OF A READING PA TO 
ALLENTOWN PA TO MORRISTOWN NJ LINE, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS 
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE SUBSTANTIAL 
SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION.

AFTER CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN, THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO 
FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT. FINAL 
RAIN TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT COULD BE AROUND OR A BIT OVER TWO INCHES 
IN SPOTS. THIS COULD PRODUCE FLOODING OF STREAMS AND CREEKS AND 
ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WHICH REMAIN SNOW OR ICE COVERED. 
MANY STREAMS HAVE ICE JAMS WHICH COULD FURTHER WORSEN ANY FLOODING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR 
FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATES REGARDING THIS STORM. NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CAN ALSO BE OBTAINED FROM 
OUR WEB SITE, WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI (IN LOWER CASE).

$$