[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 2/4/2004 4:22:51 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 042124
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
422 PM EST WED FEB 4 2004


DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ007>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ060>062-067>071-
051100-
BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-
DELAWARE PA-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-KENT MD-
LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-
NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
422 PM EST WED FEB 4 2004


...A WINTRY MIX ON THE WAY...

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER OLD MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE 
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TOMORROW. THE LOW IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEAST TOMORROW NIGHT, ENDING UP OVER 
THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GREAT 
LAKES REGION, ENERGY WILL TRANSFER CLOSER TO THE COAST FORMING 
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE OFFSHORE ON FRIDAY NIGHT.  

A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS 
FEATURE AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY BOTH THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE 
ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ACROSS THE 
REGION LATE TOMORROW NIGHT, MOST LIKELY AFTER THE MIDNIGHT HOUR. 
TEMPERATURES AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING, 
SO SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED. SNOW SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED ACROSS THE 
PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN REGION AND AREAS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AS  
PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST WINDS OFF THE RELATIVELY WARMER ATLANTIC OCEAN 
WARM TEMPERATURES. A PERIOD OF SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND 
DAYBREAK BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN. LESS THAN AN 
INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NORTH AND WEST 
OF PHILADELPHIA, A WINTRY MIX CONSISTING OF SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING 
RAIN, WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT THE NOON HOUR ON FRIDAY BEFORE 
CHANGING TO ALL RAIN. SNOW ACCUMULATION HERE SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 
ONE AND THREE INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LEHIGH 
VALLEY OF PENNSYLVANIA AND WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES OF NEW 
JERSEY. THE MORNING RUSH ON FRIDAY COULD BE TREACHEROUS. FURTHER TO 
THE NORTH, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED WINTER STORM 
WATCHES FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE SUBSTANTIAL SNOWFALL AND ICE 
ACCRETION.

AFTER CHANGING TO ALL RAIN, THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF THE SHOWERS FRIDAY 
NIGHT. FINAL RAIN TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT COULD APPROACH TWO INCHES IN 
SPOTS. THIS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING, ESPECIALLY WHERE STORM 
DRAINS REMAIN COVERED DUE TO SNOW. MANY STREAMS ARE ICE COVERED AS 
WELL OR HAVE ICE JAMS. THIS COULD FURTHER EXACERBATE THE FLOOD 
POTENTIAL.         

LATER FORECASTS WILL CONTINUE TO FINE TUNE THE TYPE, AMOUNT AND 
PLACEMENT OF THE PRECIPITATION. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR 
FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATES REGARDING THIS STORM. NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CAN ALSO BE OBTAINED FROM 
OUR WEB SITE, WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI (IN LOWER CASE).

$$

KRUZDLO