[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 5/14/2003 3:52:52 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 141958
CFWPHI
DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-150900-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2003

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR 
THE HIGH TIDES FROM THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY EVENING - THIS 
INCLUDES THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS - RARITAN BAY AND DELAWARE BAY...
...THE WORST EXPECTED FLOODING SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE FRIDAY EVENING 
HIGH TIDE... 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A COASTAL 
FLOOD WATCH FOR THE HIGH TIDES FROM THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY 
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN DELAWARE...
KENT AND SUSSEX COUNTIES.

IN NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC...OCEAN...MONMOUTH...MIDDLESEX...CUMBERLAND AND 
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON COUNTIES.

A RARE NORTHEASTER FOR MAY COLLABORATING WITH UNUSUALLY HIGH SPRING 
TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE FULL MOON RAISES THE SPECTER OF MODERATE 
TIDAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITH THE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING. THE 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL 
APPALACHIANS THURSDAY EVENING TO NEAR NORFOLK VIRGINIA FRIDAY 
MORNING AND THEN ONLY CREEP SLOWLY OFFSHORE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND 
NIGHT.

COMPLICATING MATTERS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS 
LARGE WAVES BREAKING ONTO THE SHORE. THE WORST TIDAL FLOODING IS 
EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. THIS WILL BE 
THE THIRD TIDE CYCLE WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND WILL ALSO BE THE HIGHER 
OF THE TWO HIGH TIDES FOR THE DAY. SOME LOCALLY MODERATE TIDAL 
FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE...WITH THE 
POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE 
SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDES ON FRIDAY. MORE BEACH EROSION IS 
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. MANY COASTAL AREAS 
ARE VULNERABLE TO FURTHER EROSION DUE TO THE SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEMS THAT HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED THE PAST WINTER AND EARLY SPRING. 
 
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTED HIGH TIDES ARE ALL ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW 
WATER. HIGH TIDES IN THE BACK BAYS USUALLY OCCUR LATER THAN THE 
OCEAN FRONT.

FOR SANDY HOOK ON THE RARITAN BAY...THE FORECASTED HIGH TIDES WILL 
OCCUR AT 812 PM THURSDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 
FEET...838 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 FEET AND 
901 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET.
 
FOR SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE FORECASTED HIGH TIDES 
WILL OCCUR AT 742 PM THURSDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.0 
FEET...808 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.0 FEET AND 
831 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 8.0 FEET.
 
FOR ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE FORECASTED HIGH TIDES 
WILL OCCUR AT 747 PM THURSDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.5 
FEET...813 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.5 FEET AND 
837 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET.

FOR CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE FORECASTED HIGH TIDES WILL 
OCCUR AT 819 PM THURSDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 
FEET...845 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 FEET AND 
908 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET.

FOR BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY...THE FORECASTED HIGH TIDES 
WILL OCCUR AT 858 PM THURSDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.5 
FEET...927 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.5 FEET AND 
949 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET.

FOR FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE FORECASTED HIGH TIDES 
WILL OCCUR AT 758 PM THURSDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF 6.0 TO 6.5 
FEET...824 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF 6.0 TO 6.5 FEET AND 
847 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET.

NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE THE NECESSARY PREPARATIONS. TIDAL FLOODING 
WITH THIS UPCOMING EVENT COULD MATCH THE WORST COASTAL FLOODING WE 
HAVE EXPERIENCED THE PAST WINTER...DURING THE CHRISTMAS DAY AND 
PRESIDENTS DAY WEEKEND STORMS. PLEASE DO NOT DRIVE AROUND 
BARRICADES. SOME FLOOD PRONE ROADWAYS SHOULD BE CLOSED DURING THE 
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.   

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT IMMINENT. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AROUND
7 AND A HALF FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
IS USUALLY ISSUED 12 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE AN EVENT IS FORECASTED TO
OCCUR. IF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS IMMINENT...THEN A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI IN SMALL LETTERS.

$$

GIGI/KRAUS

 
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