[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 5/14/2003 2:56:20 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 140702
SPSPHI
DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-141900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
241 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2003

...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE VIRGINIA-NORTH 
CAROLINA COAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE OVER THE OCEAN 
WHILE HEADING SLOWLY OUT TO SEA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. EVEN 
SO...THE LOW WILL HAVE A CONTINUED EFFECT OF THE COASTAL REGIONS 
INTO SATURDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE LOW AND AN AREA OF 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL CREATE A PERSISTENT 
ONSHORE WIND. THIS WIND WILL STRENGTHEN AS THE STORM MOVES BY TO THE 
SOUTH FRIDAY MORNING. 

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE AT THE HIGHER END OF 
THE RANGE...DUE TO A FULL MOON OCCURRING THURSDAY NIGHT. THESE TIDES 
IN ADDITION TO THE EXPECTED ONSHORE FLOW COULD PRODUCE COASTAL 
FLOODING. 

HIGH TIDE THURSDAY EVENING COULD BE THE FIRST TIDAL CYCLE TO SEE 
COASTAL FLOODING...WHICH WOULD PROBABLY BE MINOR. DURING 
FRIDAY...TIDES MAY BECOME PROGRESSIVELY HIGHER WITH MODERATE 
FLOODING POSSIBLE. 

THE BACK BAYS ARE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING IN THIS TYPE OF 
PATTERN. PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW ALLOWS THE WATER TO COLLECT IN THE 
BACK BAYS AND WATER LEVELS RISE WITH EACH HIGH TIDE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS OR UPDATES AS THE WEEK GOES BY.

$$

RNS

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