[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 1/15/2003 4:22:32 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 150922
SPSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>027-PAZ067>071-161000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - WINTER STORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
420 AM EST WED JAN 15 2003

...WINTER WEATHER MAY AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY 
MORNING...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE ROCKIES TODAY 
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT AND 
THURSDAY BEFORE HEADING TOWARD CAPE HATTERAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND 
OFFSHORE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE ACTUAL TRACK AND HOW QUICKLY 
THIS STORM WILL INTENSIFY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS STORM WILL 
NEED ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION. 
 
WHILE THE TRACK IS UNCERTAIN...ARCTIC AIR OVER THE REGION WILL MAKE 
PRECIPITATION FALL AS SNOW. SINCE THE WEATHER HAS BEEN COLD OF LATE 
AND MOST OF THE SNOW IS EXPECTED AT NIGHT...NO MATTER HOW MUCH 
FALLS...IT WILL HAVE AN EASY TIME STICKING TO ROADS AND WALKWAYS.  
THEY WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUICKLY.

AT THE MOMENT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVY SNOW IS ACROSS SOUTHERN 
SECTIONS OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. BUT...GIVEN THIS STORM IS JUST 
FORMING AND THE HISTORY OF LOWS SO FAR THIS WINTER HAS BEEN FOR THEM 
TO TRACK CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN ORIGINALLY THOUGHT...THERE IS A 
CHANCE FOR HEAVY SNOW TO REACH AS FAR NORTH AS THE PHILADELPHIA 
METROPOLITAN AREA AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF NEW JERSEY. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION 
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR 
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET 
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI. 

$$

TFG

WWWW