[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 1/1/2003 3:56:52 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 012054
CFWPHI
DEZ003-004-NJZ012>014-020-022>026-020300-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...RETRANSMITTED
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
320 PM EST WED JAN 1 2003

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR MIDDLESEX 
MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY FOR THE THURSDAY MORNING 
HIGH TIDE...
...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING 
AND AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING IN NEW JERSEY...
...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING FROM THE 
DELAWARE COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH ATLANTIC COUNTY...   
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A COASTAL 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE IN THE FOLLOWING 
AREAS...

IN NEW JERSEY...
MIDDLESEX...EASTERN MONMOUTH...WESTERN MONMOUTH...COASTAL OCEAN... 
AND OCEAN.


THE FOLLOWING IS A LIST OF EXPECTED HIGH TIDES IN THE WARNED AREA... 

LOCATION                TIME OF HIGH TIDE       EXPECTED HEIGHT

SANDY HOOK              705 AM THURSDAY         7.5 TO 8.0 FT
                        733 PM THURSDAY         6.5 TO 7.0 FT 

SEASIDE HEIGHTS (OCEAN) 635 AM THURSDAY         7.3 TO 7.8 FT
                        703 PM THURSDAY         6.2 TO 6.7 FT  
   

A STORM OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AT MID AFTERNOON WILL MOVE 
NORTHEAST AND OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST TONIGHT. MEANWHILE HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA OVER NEW ENGLAND. THE 
PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE HIGH AND LOW WILL PRODUCE STRONG 
NORTHEAST WINDS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 
THE STRONGEST ONSHORE FLOW WILL OCCUR BETWEEN HIGH TIDE CYCLES 
TONIGHT AND SHOULD PREVENT INLETS AND BAYS FROM DRAINING 
COMPLETELY...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF NEW JERSEY. WINDS 
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS THE LOW PASSES EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY 
AND RESUME A NORTHEAST FETCH LATER THURSDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH 
SATURDAY.

THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THIS 
EVENING IN NEW JERSEY. IN DELAWARE...THE CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND THE LOWER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE SHOULD PREVENT 
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING FROM OCCURRING THIS EVENING. THE ASTRONOMICAL 
HIGH TIDE THURSDAY MORNING IS MUCH HIGHER AND IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE 
WIDESPREAD BUT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING FROM ATLANTIC COUNTY NEW JERSEY 
SOUTHWARD THROUGH COASTAL DELAWARE. MINOR TO MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING 
IS EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH IN OCEAN...MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH COUNTIES 
NEW JERSEY WITH THE GREATEST THREAT IN MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH 
COUNTIES. 

FLOODING IN THE BACK BAYS OCCURS LATER THAN ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT. 
THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES AND HEAVY WAVE RUNUP WILL LIKELY RESULT 
IN AT LEAST SOME BEACH EROSION ALONG THE COAST...ESPECIALLY AROUND 
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS MODERATE OR GREATER COASTAL FLOODING 
IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT AROUND 7 
AND A HALF FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE 
WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE 
ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

ANOTHER STORM IS FORECAST TO PASS JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF NEW 
JERSEY AND DELAWARE LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL 
INCREASE THE NORTHEAST WINDS AGAIN AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR 
ADDITIONAL COASTAL FLOODING FROM LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
THE EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTHWARD TRACK WOULD MAKE THE ENTIRE DELAWARE 
AND NEW JERSEY COASTS VULNERABLE TO TIDAL FLOODING AT THAT TIME. IN 
ADDITION...WINDS WILL REMAIN PRIMARILY ONSHORE BETWEEN THE STORM OF 
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AND THE NEXT ONE ON FRIDAY NIGHT.
 
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI IN SMALL LETTERS. ONCE ON OUR SITE...GO TO
THE MARINE PAGE AND THEN LOOK FOR TIDAL IMPACT TABLES FOR YOUR
LOCATION.

$$




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