[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 1/1/2003 10:52:17 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 011550
CFWPHI
DEZ003-004-NJZ012>014-020-022>026-020400-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1045 AM EST WED JAN 1 2003

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR MIDDLESEX - MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES 
FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE...
...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IN NEW 
JERSEY...
...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING FROM THE DELAWARE 
COAST NORTH TO ATLANTIC COUNTY...
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A COASTAL 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE IN THE FOLLOWING 
AREAS...

IN NEW JERSEY...
EASTERN MONMOUTH...COASTAL OCEAN...OCEAN...COASTAL 
ATLANTIC...WESTERN MONMOUTH AND MIDDLESEX.


THE FOLLOWING IS A LIST OF EXPECTED HIGH TIDES IN THE WARNING AREA. 

LOCATION             TIME OF HIGH TIDE             EXPECTED 
                                                   HEIGHT

SANDY HOOK           705 AM THURSDAY               7.5 TO 8.0 FT


SEASIDE HEIGHTS      703 AM THURSDAY               7.3 TO 7.8 FT    
OCEAN   


A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY LATE THIS 
MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY AND OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST 
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA 
OVER NEW ENGLAND. THE PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE HIGH AND LOW 
WILL PRODUCE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ALONG MUCH OF THE NEW JERSEY 
COAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST ONSHORE FLOW WILL 
OCCUR BETWEEN HIGH TIDE CYCLES TONIGHT AND SHOULD PREVENT INLETS AND 
BAYS FROM DRAINING COMPLETELY...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF 
NEW JERSEY.  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS THE LOW PASSES EAST OF 
THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND RESUME A NORTHEAST FETCH LATER ON THURSDAY 
AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. 
 
THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THIS 
EVENING IN NEW JERSEY. IN THE STATE OF DELAWARE...THE CLOSER 
PROXIMITY TO THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND THE LOWER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH 
TIDE SHOULD PREVENT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING FROM OCCURRING THIS 
EVENING. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THURSDAY MORNING IS MUCH HIGHER 
AND SHOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD BUT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING FROM ATLANTIC 
COUNTY SOUTHWARD THROUGH COASTAL DELAWARE. MINOR TO MODERATE TIDAL 
FLOODING IS EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH IN OCEAN...MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH 
COUNTIES NEW JERSEY WITH THE GREATEST THREAT IN MIDDLESEX AND 
MONMOUTH COUNTIES. 

FLOODING IN THE BACK BAYS OCCURS LATER THAN ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT.
THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES...AND THE HEAVY WAVE RUNUP WILL RESULT 
IN BEACH EROSION ALONG THE COAST...ESPECIALLY AROUND TIME OF THE HIGH
TIDE.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS IN THIS INSTANCE THAT 
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING 
BEGINS AT AROUND 7 AND A HALF FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING 
WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

ANOTHER STORM IS FORECAST TO PASS BY TO THE SOUTH LATER ON FRIDAY 
WHICH WILL INCREASE THE NORTHEAST WINDS AGAIN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
FURTHER COASTAL FLOODING FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTHWARD TRACK WOULD MAKE THE ENTIRE DELAWARE AND 
NEW JERSEY COASTS VULNERABLE TO TIDAL FLOODING. IN 
ADDITION...BETWEEN SYSTEMS WINDS WILL PRIMARILY REMAIN ONSHORE.
 
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI IN SMALL LETTERS. ONCE ON OUR SITE...GO TO
THE MARINE PAGE AND THEN LOOK FOR TIDAL IMPACT TABLES FOR YOUR
LOCATION.

$$

TFG

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