[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 1/1/2003 5:08:11 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 011005
CFWPHI
NJZ012>014-020-022-025-026-011600-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
500 AM EST WED JAN 1 2003

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A COASTAL 
FLOOD WATCH FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...

IN NEW JERSEY...
EASTERN MONMOUTH...COASTAL OCEAN...ATLANTIC...OCEAN...COASTAL
ATLANTIC...WESTERN MONMOUTH AND MIDDLESEX.

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS MORNING 
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY AND OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST TONIGHT.  
MEANWHILE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA OVER NEW 
ENGLAND. THE PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE HIGH AND LOW WILL 
PRODUCE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ALONG MUCH OF THE NEW JERSEY COAST 
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS THE 
LOW PASSES EAST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT BUT WILL RESUME A NORTHEAST 
FETCH LATER ON THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY.  ANOTHER 
STORM IS FORECAST TO PASS BY TO THE SOUTH LATER ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL 
INCREASE THE NORTHEAST WINDS AGAIN. 

THIS PERIOD OF SUSTAINED NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING THE 
THREAT OF MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING FOR SEVERAL TIDE CYCLES 
BEGINNING THIS EVENING.  TIDES ALONG THE NEW JERSEY SHORE HAVE BEEN 
RUNNING ONE-HALF TO ONE FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTIONS...WHICH 
ARE ALREADY FAIRLY HIGH WITH THE NEW MOON TOMORROW. HIGH TIDES 
THROUGH FRIDAY ALONG THE JERSEY SHORE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 600 AM AND 
800 AM...AND BETWEEN 600 PM AND 800 PM...WITH THE HIGHER TIDES EARLY 
IN THE MORNING. HIGH TIDES GENERALLY OCCUR SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE 
BACK BAYS. 

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE SHORE AND BACK BAYS COULD BEGIN AS 
EARLY AS THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE...AND CONDITIONS MAY BE WORSENED BY 
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODERATE TIDAL 
FLOODING COULD BEGIN LATE TONIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE THURSDAY 
MORNING HIGH TIDE. 

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT IMMINENT. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AROUND
7 AND A HALF FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
IS USUALLY ISSUED 12 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE AN EVENT IS FORECASTED TO
OCCUR. IF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS IMMINENT...THEN A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI IN SMALL LETTERS.

AMC


WWWW