[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 12/14/2003 6:39:53 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 141133
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
631 AM EST SUN DEC 14 2003


DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-142300-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-MIDDLESEX NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
631 AM EST SUN DEC 14 2003

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA 
COAST WILL TURN NORTHEAST UP THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD THIS AFTERNOON 
AND TONIGHT. AS THE LOW HEADS UP THE ATLANTIC COAST IT WILL 
BEGIN TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY...RESULTING IN STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST 
WINDS ALONG THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTS.  THIS STRONG ONSHORE 
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN TIDES OF 1.5 TO 2.5 FT ABOVE 
ASTRONOMICAL NORMAL ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE ATLANTIC 
COASTS AND UP THE DELAWARE BAY...AS WELL AS IN THE RARITAN BAY. 

FORTUNATELY...THE NORMAL HIGH TIDES FOR TODAY ARE RELATIVELY LOW SO 
THAT THE ADDITIONAL STORM SURGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANY 
SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING. HOWEVER...SOME MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE 
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. MINOR FLOODING WOULD BE MORE LIKELY 
ALONG THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY SHORE WHERE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE 
LONGER. 

HIGH TIDE ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS WILL OCCUR 
LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO AROUND NOON...AND AGAIN LATE SUNDAY EVENING 
TO AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE LATE MORNING TIDE IS THE HIGHER OF THE TWO. 
UP THE DELAWARE BAY...HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR DURING EARLY TO MID 
AFTERNOON...AND AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.  

ANOTHER ASPECT OF THIS UPCOMING STORM IS HEAVY RAIN...WHICH COULD 
TOTAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA INCLUDING THE COAST. 
RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ADD TO ANY TIDAL FLOODING PROBLEMS.

BY MONDAY MORNING THIS STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO 
REACH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AND WINDS ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST 
WILL HAVE SHIFTED TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST.  THIS STRONG OFFSHORE 
FLOW WILL PREVENT ANY FURTHER TIDAL FLOODING...UNTIL PERHAPS THE 
NEXT STORM ANTICIPATED AROUND MID WEEK.
 
THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR FLOOD EVENT.   HOWEVER...THOSE IN 
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR RISING WATER. STAY TUNED 
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR 
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES. 

$$

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI (IN SMALL LETTERS).

SZATKOWSKI

$$