[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 12/13/2003 4:05:33 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 132059
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 PM EST SAT DEC 13 2003

DEZ004-NJZ012>014-024>026-141000-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
400 PM EST SAT DEC 13 2003

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE NOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL 
HEAD EAST TO THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING...AND THEN 
WILL TURN NORTHEAST UP THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW HEADS UP THE ATLANTIC COAST IT WILL BEGIN 
TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY...RESULTING IN STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 
ALONG THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTS.  THIS STRONG ONSHORE FLOW 
IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN TIDES OF 1.5 TO 2.5 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
NORMAL. 

FORTUNATELY...THE NORMAL HIGH TIDES FOR SUNDAY ARE RELATIVELY LOW SO 
THAT THE ADDITIONAL STORM SURGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANY 
SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING. HOWEVER...SOME MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE 
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY IF THE SURGE IS A LITTLE 
MORE THAN NOW EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING WOULD BE MORE LIKELY ALONG 
THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY SHORE WHERE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE 
LONGER. 

HIGH TIDE ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS WILL OCCUR 
LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO AROUND NOON...AND AGAIN LATE SUNDAY EVENING 
TO AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE LATE MORNING TIDE IS THE HIGHER OF THE TWO. 

ANOTHER ASPECT OF THIS UPCOMING STORM IS HEAVY RAIN...WHICH COULD 
TOTAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA INCLUDING THE COAST. 
RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ADD TO ANY TIDAL FLOODING PROBLEMS.

BY MONDAY MORNING DEEP LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO REACH SOUTHERN 
NEW ENGLAND...AND WINDS ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL HAVE 
SHIFTED TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST.  THIS STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL 
PREVENT ANY FURTHER TIDAL FLOODING...UNTIL PERHAPS THE NEXT STORM 
AROUND MID WEEK.
 
THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR FLOOD EVENT...BUT MORE OF A 
NUISANCE.  HOWEVER...THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT 
FOR RISING WATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO
OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER 
UPDATES. 

$$

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI (IN SMALL LETTERS).

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