[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 12/3/2003 3:30:34 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 032022
SPSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-041000-

WINTER STORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 PM EST WED DEC 3 2003



DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-041000-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...ATLANTIC CITY...BETHLEHEM...
CAMDEN...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...TRENTON...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
322 PM EST WED DEC 3 2003


...FIRST SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM OF THE WINTER...

THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM OF THIS WINTER WILL AFFECT THE 
REGION STARTING ON THURSDAY NIGHT.  LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS 
EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING...WITH THE SNOW SPREADING ACROSS 
THE REGION FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. 

THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO RAIN EARLY FRIDAY OVER 
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...AND SOUTHERN AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF 
NEW JERSEY.  LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY...THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN WILL 
SPREAD FURTHER NORTHWEST INTO THE DELAWARE VALLEY.  FURTHER TO THE 
NORTH AND WEST...UP INTO THE LEHIGH VALLEY...THE POCONOS AND 
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN AS SNOW ON FRIDAY. 

FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE 
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN SIX INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN 
THOSE LOCATIONS WHERE THE PRECIPITATION REMAINS ALL SNOW.  LESS THAN 
AN INCH IS EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL DELMARVA AND ALONG THE ATLANTIC 
COAST...WHERE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN SHOULD OCCUR QUICKLY.  ATLANTIC 
WATER TEMPERATURES ARE STILL RELATIVELY WARM AND THE ONSHORE FLOW 
WILL PROMOTE THE CHANGEOVER OF PRECIPITATION TO RAIN.  

THIS FIRST ROUND OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF BY THE END OF THE 
DAY ON FRIDAY WITH A LITTLE BREAK BEFORE THE NEXT PART OF THE SYSTEM 
ARRIVES.

THE SECOND PART OF THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND

SUNDAY.  THIS SECOND ROUND WILL BRING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION TO 
THE AREA...IN THE FORM OF SNOW WELL INLAND AND AS A COLD RAIN 
ELSEWHERE.  ONSHORE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE 
WEEKEND...WHICH WILL BRING THE THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH 
EROSION.  TIDES WILL ALSO BE RUNNING HIGHER AS WE APPROACH THE FULL 
MOON ON MONDAY.  BREAKERS MAY EXCEED 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG 
THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE ATLANTIC COAST...CAUSING DUNE OVERWASH 
DURING THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE 
WEEKEND...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF FLOODING ON THE BARRIER 
ISLANDS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.  
 
STAY TUNED FOR UPDATED INFORMATION ON THIS APPROACHING NOR'EASTER.  
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED AS WE GET 
CLOSE TO THIS STORM EVENT. 

$$

SZATKOWSKI

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