[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 10/15/2002 04:03:01

[n2qae@arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 150905
SPSPHI
DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ013-014-020>027-152100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
503 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...MORE RAIN HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE GULF OF 
MEXICO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS WAY UP 
THE EAST COAST...REACHING THE DELMARVA WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE NEW 
ENGLAND STATES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE. EAST 
WINDS WILL START TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT AND REACH SPEEDS OF 25 MPH 
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND 35 MPH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST ON 
WEDNESDAY. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...WINDS WILL BECOME 
NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

THE RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE DELMARVA 
THIS EVENING AND CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN 
PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY. GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE REGION 
WILL BE IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE...BUT LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. 

WITH THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...COMBINED WITH WET GROUNDS 
FROM RECENT RAINS...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED FLOOD 
WATCHES FOR THE EXTREME NORTHERN DELMARVA...WESTERN PORTIONS OF NEW 
JERSEY...AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF PENNSYLVANIA. SOUTHERN DELMARVA AND 
EASTERN SECTIONS OF NEW JERSEY ARE NOT UNDER A FLOOD WATCH AS THESE 
AREAS RECEIVED LESS RAIN THE PAST WEEK AND HAVE SANDIER SOILS WHICH 
LESSEN RUNOFF. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA IS NOT UNDER A FLOOD WATCH... 
NUISANCE ROADWAY FLOODING DUE TO PONDING WILL OCCUR.      

IF THE TRACK AND SPEED OF THE STORM ADHERES TO THE CURRENT 
FORECAST...TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS 
SHOULD BE AT A MINIMUM AS THE MOST SEVERE ONSHORE WINDS WILL PAIR 
WITH THE LOWER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES FOR THE DAY. ASTRONOMICAL 
TIDES ARE ABOUT 1 FOOT LOWER THAN THEY WERE ONE WEEK AGO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA SOURCE FOR 
FURTHER UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

KRUZDLO
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