[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 11/16/2002 3:36:04 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 160836
CFWPHI
NJZ012>015-020-022>027-161600-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2002

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CONTINUED THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH 
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING SUNDAY MORNING. THIS 
WATCH COVERS THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM SANDY HOOK SOUTH TO CAPE MAY 
NEW JERSEY INCLUDING THE BACK BAYS AND COASTAL INLETS...AS WELL AS 
THE SECTIONS OF MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY ALONG 
RARITAN BAY. 

LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY 
AND THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG THE EASTERN 
SEABOARD TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS LOW COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE 
OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL RESULT IN INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS THIS 
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THESE ONSHORE WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW THE TIDES 
TO INCREASE.

AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH OVER NEW JERSEY ON SUNDAY...WINDS WILL 
BECOMING SOUTHERLY AND DECREASE IN SPEEDS DURING THE DAY. 
HOWEVER...BY THE TIME THE WINDS DO DIMINISH...THE TIDES SHOULD 
ALREADY BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIME OF 
HIGH TIDE SUNDAY MORNING.

LOW LYING AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON 
BUT THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH 
TIDE SUNDAY MORNING.

MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS WITH TIDES ABOUT 7.5 FT ABOVE MEAN LOWER 
LOW WATER. 

HIGH TIDES THIS AFTERNOON...

SANDY HOOK ........ 526 PM  
SEASIDE HEIGHTS ... 456 PM 
ATLANTIC CITY ..... 503 PM 
CAPE MAY .......... 533 PM 

SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...

SANDY HOOK ........ 552 AM 
SEASIDE HEIGHTS ... 522 AM
ATLANTIC CITY ..... 529 AM 
CAPE MAY .......... 559 AM

IN THE BACK BAYS...HIGH TIDE IS AROUND AN HOUR LATER THAN ALONG THE 
OCEAN FRONT. ALSO...HEAVY RAINS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES COULD EXACERBATE 
ANY TIDAL FLOODING.

STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT 
ALLOWING THE WATER LEVELS TO SUBSIDE WITH NO ADDITIONAL TIDAL 
FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR THE DELAWARE COAST HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 
THE ONSHORE FLOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG THAT FAR SOUTH AND 
THEREFORE TIDAL DEPARTURES SHOULD NOT BE LARGE ENOUGH TO CAUSE 
FLOODING.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT IMMINENT. WHEN AND IF IT BECOMES
EVIDENT THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR...A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA FOR 
UPDATED STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. YOU CAN ACCESS THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING 
ADDRESS...WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI (ALL IN LOWER CASE).

$$

RNS








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