[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 11/14/2002 3:27:20 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 142028
SPSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-150900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
327 PM EST THU NOV 14 2002


...NORTHEASTER EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... 

A COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST 
ON SATURDAY AND MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG OR JUST EAST OF THE EASTERN 
SEABOARD REACHING NEAR CAPE COD ON SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF THIS 
LOW AND A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER EASTERN CANADA IS EXPECTED TO 
INCREASE THE WINDS AND SEAS ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO 
TAP MOISTURE FROM BOTH THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO AND 
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. 
THE GROUND HAS BEEN FAIRLY SATURATED OVER THE LAST MONTH AND A HALF 
DUE TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL. IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH FOR SOME 
OF THE FLOOD PRONE SMALLER STREAMS TO REACH FLOOD STAGE IF HEAVY 
RAIN COMES TO FRUITION. PRECIPITATION SHOULD FALL MAINLY AS RAIN 
THROUGHOUT THE AREA AS THE HIGH IS TOO FAR AWAY TO KEEP COLD AIR 
ENTRENCHED IN THE REGION. 

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND COASTAL AREAS...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE 
POSSIBLE. THIS...COMBINED WITH THE EXPECTED PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW 
FOR A COUPLE OF HIGH TIDE CYCLES RAISES THE POSSIBILITY OF TIDAL 
FLOODING WITH THE HIGH TIDE SATURDAY EVENING AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY 
MORNING. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR THE BACK BAYS. AT THE LEAST
WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING APPEARS LIKELY. SINCE THE 
NORTHEASTER WILL BE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES NORTH...TIDAL FLOODING 
SUSCEPTIBILITY SHOULD INCREASE THE FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE NEW 
JERSEY COAST.

PLEASE LISTEN FOR FURTHER UPDATES...STATEMENTS...POSSIBLE FLOOD 
WATCHES FOR INLAND LOCATIONS AND OR COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES FOR 
COASTAL SECTIONS.

$$
 
ZEV/TFG


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