[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 05/02/2002 11:15:53

[n2qae@arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 021515
SPSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>026-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-022015-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1112 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TODAY ALONG THE EASTERN SHORES 
OF THE GREAT LAKES. AS IT DOES SO...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM 
THE WEST...PASSING THROUGH OUR REGION THIS EVENING. OVERCAST 
CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO AREAS OF SUNSHINE THIS 
AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE THE 
ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE.

FOR THIS REASON THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS 
PLACED THE REGION UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...EXCEPT FOR THE IMMEDIATE NEW JERSEY AND 
DELAWARE COASTS.  

AT THE PRESENT TIME...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
APPEARS TO BE FROM MID-AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WIND 
PROFILES SUGGEST THAT A GREATER POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR DAMAGING 
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAUSED BY SQUALL LINES RATHER THAN TORNADIC 
WINDS STEMMING FROM SUPERCELLS. BUT...IF WINDS REMAIN MORE SOUTHERLY 
THIS AFTERNOON...THE GREATER DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL PROVIDE A MUCH 
BETTER ENVIRONMENT FOR ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS.

ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS...THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED FLOODING 
EXISTS INTO THIS EVENING. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE 
POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. 

IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES PLANNED FOR THIS AFTERNOON OR 
EVENING...KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY AND AN EAR TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO... 
TO LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AS WELL AS ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS 
WHICH MIGHT BE ISSUED.

IF YOU ARE NEAR A COMPUTER...DETAILED WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO 
BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING ADDRESS BY TYPING IN SMALL LETTERS... 
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/PHI.

$$

KRUZDLO

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