Ray wrote:

>Some consider the B-17 and Strategic bombing a success. 
>Myself I wonder. Think around ten thousand B-17 bombers were built 
>during the war. Out of that number over forty-nine hundred were 
>shot down over Europe

I would measure the success of any system, including weapons, to be whether or not it achieved its objectives.   You are correct that losses were high, but did the bombing campaign achieve its goals?  

My reading about conditions in Germany at the end of the war seem to agree that the combined British and American bombing of cities, industries, energy, and transportation were quite effective.  A side objective was achieving air superiority through attrition, which reduced further strategic bomber losses and allowed amazing results by tactical ground-support weapons like the P-47 and its British and Soviet counterparts.  "Actung Jabo!"

Returning German soldiers invariably expressed surprise about how badly the "home front" was devastated. 

Industrialists and leading bureaucrats report devastation and near complete shut-down by early 1945.  They were working on shifting production of last-ditch equipment to hidden, underground facilities, but they state that the skilled workers won't be available due to bombed-out residential areas.   Nor will transport or fuel be available.

They seem to feel if they "only had a little more time" they could turn it around, but the relentless nature of the bombing as well as the press of the war on the ground did not allow for more time.

You mentioned the B-29.  I've heard analyses that conclude the strategic bombing in Europe should have been slowed or paused because B-17 and B-24 losses were too high and the B-29 was "coming soon".  That is a case of 20/20 hindsight.  During the war no one knew the revolutionary technology involved in the B-29 would be a success, and it took about a year longer than expected to become reliable and effective. 

If they knew it would be a success, why did they invest in a complete, parallel development project in the Consolidated B-32 (which was trying to achieve similar design ideas in different ways)?

https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/b-32-dominator

Slowing or pausing the B-17 and B-24 missions in Europe could have given the enemy the time they wished they had.  I think a later deployment of the B-29 there would have been met by large numbers of very high-performance, high-altitude interceptors, including jet aircraft that the analog fire control computers in the B-29 might not have been fast enough to track.  

And the ground war would have been much more costly and perhaps a stalemate without the vital tactical air ground-support advantage, as well as continued transport and fuel interdiction by the B-17 and B-24 bombing campaign.

An interesting "what if" thought problem.


Steve WD8DAS  
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