[Milsurplus] [Boatanchors] Micamold Recovery

Mike Hanz aaf-radio-1 at aafradio.org
Wed Jun 4 17:05:56 EDT 2014


Exactly right, Robert.  We see other examples of this "confirmation 
bias", and even when someone offers to do some work in checking out a 
hypothesis, the bias then prompts the opponents of either side to turn 
to dire predictions of failure or vindication.  The polarization 
prevalent in many areas of life these days is exacerbated by the 
phenomenon - especially in an election year....:-)

I'll be interested in AB5S' experimental results, simply because it 
would be nice to get something other than rehashed 'internet opinions' 
on the subject.

 From Science Daily:    Confirmation bias:
In psychology and cognitive science, confirmation bias (or confirmatory 
bias) is a tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that 
confirms one's preconceptions, leading to statistical errors.
Confirmation bias is a type of cognitive bias and represents an error of 
inductive inference toward confirmation of the hypothesis under study.
Confirmation bias is a phenomenon wherein decision makers have been 
shown to actively seek out and assign more weight to evidence that 
confirms their hypothesis, and ignore or underweigh evidence that could 
disconfirm their hypothesis.
As such, it can be thought of as a form of selection bias in collecting 
evidence.

  - Mike

On 6/4/2014 4:25 PM, WA5CAB--- via Boatanchors wrote:
> I agree with Bob.  The "right" answer to this question (black beauties
> excepted) depends entirely upon which side of the fence the answerer is on.  And
> all replies from the "wrong" side of the fence are correctly classified as
> SPAM.



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