[Lowfer] FW: M8 Flare today

Ed Tanton [email protected]
Wed, 10 Apr 2002 18:40:30 -0400


73  Ed Tanton  N4XY  <[email protected]>

Ed Tanton  N4XY
189 Pioneer Trail
Marietta, GA  30068-3466

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-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf
Of Paul Harden, NA5N
Sent: Wednesday, April 10, 2002 6:34 PM
To: Low Power Amateur Radio Discussion
Subject: M8 Flare today


Gang,
There was an M8 flare earlier today, about 1300UTC, from region 9893.
This is a very "hot" active region about 20 degrees above the sun's
equator and about 10 degrees east of the central meridian.  This means
any CME resulting will surely hit the earth around friday.  Preliminary
Type II sweeps were measured at a measly 700 km/sec, or not a
particularly strong shockwave.  Still, if it hits friday evening, it
could trigger some auroral activity across North America and into the
northern tier of states.  Will update the groups tomorrow as more
accurate LASCO images are released.  Auroral activity has been a bit
enhanced lately due to a host of coronal holes.

This has kicked the solar flux a bit, now over 205, with values in the
200 range for the following week at least.  This means 10M and 15M will
be open this weekend, for the QRP ARCI Spring QSO Party and what other
activities there may be.  Even if a shockwave does hit us friday, the
effects will be shortlived and pretty well gone by saturday.

72, Paul NA5N