[LeArc] Fwd: [CCARS] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[Steve Hays]

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "Patrick Fasano" <kc9jud at arrl.net>
Date: May 22, 2011 8:51 AM
Subject: [CCARS] Hazardous Weather Outlook
To: <rfasano at aol.com>, <ccars at googlegroups.com>, <kmainz at monm.edu>


FLUS43 KDVN 221341
HWODVN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
841 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-231345-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
841 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

..DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN
ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...WIND
SHEAR AND FORCING WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY
BETWEEN 2 PM TO 5 PM OVER EASTERN IOWA. THESE STORMS MAY BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND...AND TORNADOES.

STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO LINES OR CLUSTERS...WITH
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT TRANSITIONING TO PRIMARILY DAMAGING WIND
AND LARGE HAIL WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND
AFFECT THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA.

A CONFERENCE CALL FOR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL BE CONDUCTED AT
11 AM THIS MORNING.

..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED OVER MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WILL
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE BY NEXT
WEEKEND...BUT IT IS TOO SOON TO DETERMINE THE RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

..SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
"Cedar Creek Amateur Radio Society" group.
To post to this group, send email to ccars at googlegroups.com.
To unsubscribe from this group, send email to
ccars+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com.
For more options, visit this group at
http://groups.google.com/group/ccars?hl=en.