[LeArc] HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK 05/10/05

[Duane Whittingham]

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
528 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2005

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-111000-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
528 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST...EAST
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHEAST IOWA...NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL...AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA. EARLY THIS EVENING A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80.
LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL
AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
34.

A WARM FRONT WILL BE DEVELOPING ALONG THE IOWA MISSOURI BORDER LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR
THE FRONT EARLY THIS EVENING FROM SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI INTO WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS
AREA WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND HAIL
BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER.

BY MID EVENING...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP
NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT OVER WEST CENTRAL IOWA AND MOVE EAST INTO
EAST CENTRAL IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
MOST OF THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 34.  THEY
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE COMMON NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 80. THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 3
INCHES. THE HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED
AREAS...DITCHES AND SMALL CREEKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
WARM FRONT THAT WILL STRETCH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA. THE AREA OF GREATEST RISK WILL BE WEST OF INTERSTATE
74 AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT AREAS
MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY
AGAIN THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT...AND FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80
THROUGH THIS PERIOD. LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY ALSO BE A CONCERN
BY LATE WEEK...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 WHERE RAINFALL
TOTALS MAY REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT.

$$

DLF/DLS



---------------------------------------------------------------------
Duane Whittingham (N9SSN) - Producer
Tom and Darryl Radio Shows
Heard on C-Band Analog Satellite (W0KIE) - GE7-CH5-7.5 mHz
Also on WTND-LP Macomb 106.3, WQNA FM, WBCQ 7415 kHz & the Internet.
Heard Fridays 9pm ET, Sundays 12am ET and Tues 2am ET (Folk)
An Independent Freeform Eclectic Radio Show.
http://www.tomanddarryl.org
http://www.wtnd.us


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