[LeArc] Slight risk again for IA, Nrn. IL. & WI

[Duane Whittingham]

This from Day 1 Conv Outlook.  Duane


    ...ERN IA...NRN IL...SRN WI AREA...

    STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL PERSIST N OF WARM FRONT AS IT LIFTS NWD
    THROUGH THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES AREA. VORT MAX NOW OVER
    SE KS/SW MO WILL LIFT NEWD DURING THE DAY. ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY
    BE ONGOING DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS FEATURE AND N OF WARM FRONT FROM
    PARTS OF IA THROUGH NRN IL. THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY
    INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY IN VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT
    AND ON NOSE OF LOW LEVEL JET FROM ERN IA/NRN IL. HOWEVER...GIVEN
    PERSISTENT ONGOING STORMS...THREAT IS CONDITIONAL ON DEGREE
    DESTABILIZATION THAT OCCURS NEAR THE WARM FRONT.


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