[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 5/1/2003 2:14:15 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 010710
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
210 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2003

.OVERVIEW...WILL BE SHORT DUE TO STILL TRYING TO GET CAUGHT UP WITH
EARLIER SEVERE WEATHER EVENT (~40 SVR REPORTS...30 HAIL AND 10 TORNADO)
JUST ENDING NOW AND LOTS OF ONGOING NWR EQUIPMENT PROBLEMS. BASICALLY...
SURFACE BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED STORMS NOW SLIDING EAST WITH UPPER
TROUGH TO PASS TOMORROW.  SURFACE AND UPPER FORCING WEAK TOMORROW BUT
ALL INDICATIONS OF BUOYANCY AND LOW WBZ SUPPORT CHANCE OF SOME ISOLATED
TO FEW STORMS DEVELOPING LATE PM INTO EVENING.  A LOW WBZ AROUND 8,000"
AGL A FAIRLY DRY ALOFT MAKE THIS POSSIBLE W/ SOME UVV AND PM HEATING AS
APPEARS IF SEE SOME SUN...CONVECTIVE TERMS REACHED OR THREATENED.  MAY
SEE SOME MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-80 AND WILL MENTION
THIS IN HWO. ALSO...RISK OF SOME FROST SATURDAY MORNING AS LIGHT EAST
WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING SUPPORTED.

.EXTENDED (SUN-WED)...STILL LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  WILL MAKE LITTLE OR NO CHANGES AND PASS
ANY LONGER TERM ISSUES TO DAY FOLKS AS THINGS WILL HAVE CALMED DOWN
BY THEN.

DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

$$

NICHOLS