[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 7/10/2003 2:48:54 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 100747
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
245 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2003


THE PATTERN OF HEAVY RAIN AND OCCASIONALLY SEVERE MCS ACTIVITY HAS 
ENDED FOR IOWA...NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. RELIEF IS 
ON THE WAY AS DEWPOINTS ARE NOW LOWERING INTO THE 50S ACROSS WESTERN 
IOWA AND THE EVIL WEST TO EAST FRONT PUSHES AWAY FROM THE CWA FOR 
GOOD. AS UPPER FORCING LINGERS BEHIND THE MAIN MCS TO THE 
SOUTH...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE EARLY 
TODAY...MAINLY EAST THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  AS THE UPPER FORCING 
SHIFTS EAST...CLOUDS WILL DECREASE GRADUALLY FROM WEST TO EAST THIS 
MORNING.  THERE WILL BE  A FAIR AMOUNT OF AFTERNOON CUMULUS...BUT 
PLENTY OF LOW HUMIDITY SUNSHINE...TODAY WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT. 
GUIDANCE HAS FINALLY CAUGHT ON THAT THIS IS A SEASONALLY COOL 
AIRMASS...AND HAS COME IN RATHER CLOSE TO GOING FORECAST HIGHS IN 
THE MID 70S NORTH TO LOW 80S SOUTH. 

A NOTE ON HYDROLOGIC ISSUES...
THOUGH FLASH FLOODING HAS SUBSIDED ACROSS THE SOUTH...RIVER FLOODING 
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  

NO SIGINIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD OF THE 
FORECAST FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY DUE TO WORKLOAD ISSUES EARLY 
THIS MORNING. THE MAJORITY OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD IS RATHER 
BENIGN...AND A QUICK LOOK AT MODELS SHOWS THAT THE FORECAST SHOULD 
BE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE. 

DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

$$

ERVIN