[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 7/7/2003 9:30:29 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 080226
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
925 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2003

BUSY EVENING WITH THINGS QUIETING DOWN SOME (FOR THE TIME BEING). 
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS RIDGING INTO CENTRAL IA LEADING TO 
DIMINISHING TREND TO CONVECTION THERE. SURFACE LOW NEAR MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER FUELING CONVECTION IN EASTERN CWA WHICH WILL BE 
EXITING IN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HRS. FOCUS LOOKS TO SHIFT BACK WEST WHERE 
CONVECTION EXPECTED TO REV UP WITH NOSE OF LLJ INTERACTING WITH 
EAST-WEST FRONTAL ZONE. POTENTIAL FOR MCS TO ROLL EASTBOUND ALONG 
AND TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONTAL ZONE BRINGING MORE HEAVY RAIN AND 
POTENTIAL FOR SOME HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS LATER TONIGHT...AFTER 1-3 
AM. FLOODING IS BECOMING A REAL CONCERN AS THE 1-80 CORRIDOR NOW HAS 
GOTTEN A REAL GOOD SOAKING WITH STANDING WATER IN SOME 
FIELDS...INDICATING FLASH FLOODING NOT FAR OFF IF CONVECTION CAN 
RETURN QUICKLY ENOUGH. EARLY THIS MORNING...THE HIGHWAY 30 CORRIDOR 
AND NORTH GOT HIT WITH HEAVY RAIN. FFG VALUES LOWERING NOW IN MANY 
AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH AND CENTRAL TO 1 TO 2 INCHES IN 3 HRS. 
RIVERS ARE ON THE RISE AS WELL. FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY IN 
THE NEXT 24 HRS...AS PATTERN LOOKING SOMEWHAT OMINOUS FOR THE 
POTENTIAL OF ATLEAST 2 MORE CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES IN THE 
NEXT 36 HRS.   

ON A SIDE NOTE...ALL ATTEMPTS TO REVIVE THE KDVN DOPPLER RADAR HAVE 
FAILED. PARTS ARE ON ORDER BUT THEY WON/T ARRIVE UNTIL TOMORROW 
MORNING...AT THE EARLIEST. SO...THE RADAR WILL BE OUT OF SERVICE 
FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT. WE APPRECIATE ALL OF THE ASSISTANCE FROM 
SURROUNDING WFO/S AND OUR MEDIA PARTNERS! CONTINUED ASSISTANCE
DURING THE OVERNIGHT WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.  

MCCLURE

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.


$$