[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 1/15/03 9:55:40 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 160404
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1000 PM CST WED JAN 15 2003

UPDATE TO COME OUT SHORTLY TO REDUCE SNOW AMOUNTS A LITTLE...BUT 
WILL BE LEAVING ADVISORY IN PLACE.  THIS SYSTEM IS A RELATIVELY 
VIGOROUS...BUT HAVE CONCERNS ABOUT THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR BEING 
ENTRAINED INTO THE WARM SECTOR OF THIS SYSTEM...AND HOW FAR SOUTH 
THE 850 LOW IS SWINGING.  ALSO...LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER THE CWA IS FROM 
THE NORTHEAST...WHICH IS CHARACTERISTICALLY VERY DRY AND REALLY 
KNOCKS DOWN SNOW AMOUNTS.  HOWEVER...HAVE JUST GOTTEN SOME RELIABLE 
REPORTS OF SNOW ALONG THE IA/MO BORDER...WITH AS MUCH AS 1 INCH ON 
THE GROUND.  SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UNDER THE MAIN SNOW BAND ALONG THE 
IA MO BORDER AS IT EXTENDS BACK TO THE WEST ARE BETWEEN 4 AND 5 
INCHES...AND WITH THE SYSTEM LOSING STRENGTH THAT SHOULD BE THE MOST 
WE COULD EXPECT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF OUR CWA.

OTHERWISE...NOT MUCH MORE THAN SOME COSMETIC TWEAKS.

.DVN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING
IA...IAZ087>089-098-099.
IL...ILZ025-026-034-035.
MO...MOZ009-010.

LRE