[LeArc] HWODVN@ 2/12/03 3:59:57 PM

Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:59:57 -0600

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.

FLUS43 KDVN 122202
HWODVN
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-131100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
400 PM CST WED FEB 12 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA...
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ORGANIZE TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES ON
THURSDAY...AND THEN SWEEP EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL GENERATE PRECIPITATION OUT AHEAD
OF IT...WHICH WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
CONTINUE TO BUILD FURTHER NORTH AND EAST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS
TIME...INDICATIONS ARE THAT WARM AIR BEING ADVECTED ABOVE THE SURFACE
WILL ALLOW THE PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS MAINLY RAIN.  SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHEAST IOWA...AND
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS ARE PROJECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING UNTIL
MID FRIDAY MORNING...THUS THERE WILL BE A FREEZING RAIN THREAT. AREAS
MOST LIKELY TO BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO SOME ICE ACCUMULATION LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND THROUGH MID FRIDAY MORNING...ARE GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A FAIRFIELD...TO MONMOUTH LINE. SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY
THEN SPREAD NORTH TO THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR THROUGH MIDDAY
FRIDAY. SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST OF
THESE AREAS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE PRECIPITATION THEN FALLING
AS RAIN AND SLEET. COOLER AIR INFILTRATING THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH MAY SWITCH THE PRECIPITATION TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH
SOME MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SINCE THE STORM IS STILL IN ITS DEVELOPMENTAL STAGES...THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM SYSTEM. ANY
DEVIATION IN THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE STORM WILL ALTER PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS AND TYPE. STAY TUNED TO LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS
CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DVN (ALL LOWER CASE)

$$

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