[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 2/8/03 3:54:05 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 081001
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
330 AM CST SAT FEB 8 2003

MAIN CONCERNS THIS MORNING ARE COLD FRONTS TODAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

COLD FRONT SURGING SOUTH THIS MORNING AS SEEN ON SATELLITE AND 
SURFACE OBS...PUSHING INTO IA ATTM.  FORCING IS WEAK AND MOISTURE 
LIMITED...SO FLURRIES THE MOST WE CAN EXPECT TODAY.  SINGLE DIGIT 
TEMPS BEHIND FRONT WILL RETURN US TO THE DEEP FREEZE TONIGHT.  

NEXT SYSTEM SUNDAY NIGHT HAS STRONGER LIFT AND SHOULD SATURATE FOR 
LIGHT BUT MEASURABLE SNOW. GFS EXHIBITING THE BEST TRACK RECORD AT 
THIS POINT...SO WILL FAVOR FOR THIS SYSTEM.  COLD AIR MASS FIRMLY IN 
PLACE MONDAY WILL HOLD TEMPS DOWN. GFS BRINGING ANOTHER WAVE DOWN 
TUESDAY NIGHT.  WILL HOLD OFF FOR ANOTHER RUN TO WATCH FOR MODEL 
CONSISTENCY BEFORE INTRODUCNG POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.  A GRADUAL 
WARM UP DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.  LATEST GFS RUN KEEPS 
THE FRIDAY SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH...BUT AGAIN WILL WATCH FOR 
CONSISTENCY BETWEEN RUNS AND MODELS BEFORE PULLING THE POPS.  
..
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

$$

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