[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 2/3/03 10:11:48 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 031619
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1020 AM CST MON FEB 3 2003

WILL LET DENSE FOG ADVISORY EXPIRE. SURFACE WAVE NEAR PERU IL WITH
PRESSURE FALL BULLSEYE OVER LAKE MI SUPPORTING NORTHEAST
MOVEMENT. WINDS INCREASING TO 10-15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ON BACKSIDE
OF SYSTEM WITH VISIBILITIES IMPROVING. EXPECT SOME AREAS OF DENSE
FOG TO LINGER INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT OVERALL WILL SEE 
IMPROVING VISIBILITIES NEXT 1-3 HRS. ATTENTION THEN SHIFTS TO WINTER WX
AND WIND HIGHLIGHTS. IMPRESSIVE DEF ZONE SWINGING THROUGH EASTERN NE
AND NORTHERN KS WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES 1/4 MI
WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH. SNOW DEPICTED WELL IN 
ETA H85-H7 ETA FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AND H5-H3 AGEO COMPONENT.
THIS LOOKS TO WEAKEN SOME AS IT SHIFTS E/NE INTO CONFLUENT FLOW PRESENT
OVER GREAT LAKES. NOT GOING TO SEE MUCH PCPN AHEAD OF DEF ZONE
OTHER THAN -DZ WITH FEW SHOWERS IN THE FAR SOUTH/EAST ZONES. CONCERN
WILL BE WITH POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE UNTIL SNOW ARRIVES.
AS LOW PULLS AWAY NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH TEMPS SLOWLY FALLING.
READINGS AT/BELOW FREEZING NORTHERN IA...SO SOME THREAT IN
NORTH AND WEST FOR PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE BEFORE SNOW MOVES IN.
WINTER WX ADVISORY INCLUDES THIS THREAT AND WILL INCLUDE MENTION
IN AFFORMENTIONED ZONE GROUPS. ACCUMS STILL LOOK ON TRACK WITH 
AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF WASHINGTON...TO FREEPORT LINE 
LIKELY SEEING HIGHEST AMOUNTS POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 3 OR 4 INCHES. 
CONDITIONS DEFINITELY DETERIORATING QUICKLY MID-LATE AFTN AND THIS EVE
WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW.

.DVN...
IA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NEAR AND
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM FAIRFIELD TO IOWA CITY TO MAQUOKETA TO
DUBUQUE...AND A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT FOR THE REMAINDER OF IOWA
COUNTIES.
IL...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR
JO DAVIESS COUNTY...AND A WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT FOR ALL ILLINOIS
COUNTIES.
MO...WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT.

$$

MCCLURE